Realized P&L
-$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
1,517
Trades
3,495
lifetime
Volume
$22.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$103
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-31 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Other
53% 60% -$788
Crypto
32% 60% -$244
Politics
11% 63% +$86
Sports
4% 49% -$108
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +40 $10 26¢ $11 +$1 10-31 08:30
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +29 $9 35¢ $10 +$1 10-31 17:33
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +29 $10 34¢ $10 $0 10-31 19:37
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +36 $10 26¢ $9 -$1 10-31 08:08
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $10 26¢ $9 -$1 10-31 08:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +106 $13 8¢ $9 -$4 10-31 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $11 20¢ $8 -$3 10-31 04:01
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-31 12:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +9 $5 55¢ $5 $0 10-30 10:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-31 08:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +15 $5 33¢ $5 $0 10-30 11:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +6 $5 73¢ $4 -$1 10-31 04:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +61 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 10-31 05:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +16 $4 16¢ $2 -$1 10-30 21:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +27 $2 7¢ $2 $0 10-30 20:10
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +16 $10 11¢ $2 -$8 10-30 00:17
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +20 $2 7¢ $1 $0 10-30 19:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +71 $3 1¢ $1 -$3 10-31 14:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +52 $10 1¢ $1 -$10 10-30 04:42
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +11 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-28 06:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +0 $4 47¢ $0 -$4 10-31 15:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $2 50¢ $0 -$2 10-31 01:12