Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
66
Trades
444
lifetime
Volume
$519
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$99
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-26 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
42% 58% +$6
Politics
27% 33% +$1
Crypto
26% 43% -$28
Sports
5% 67% +$15
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +30 $19 66¢ $19 +$0 10-21 09:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12 $9 74¢ $9 $0 10-19 20:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +14 $9 55¢ $8 -$1 10-24 14:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $6 92¢ $6 $0 10-26 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +7 $4 84¢ $6 +$2 10-23 16:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 10-23 00:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 10-26 18:42
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-26 03:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 10-26 04:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +24 $4 16¢ $4 $0 10-19 16:06
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 10-26 08:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $0 10-19 07:18
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-18 21:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 10-19 06:04
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +6 $2 35¢ $2 $0 10-18 22:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 78¢ $2 $0 10-19 13:21
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4 $2 40¢ $2 $0 10-21 18:44
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-18 21:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-23 19:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-22 16:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-18 19:47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-22 18:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-19 22:26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-22 16:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 10-22 19:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-26 03:46
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 10-18 21:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-24 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-19 03:06
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-26 08:31