Realized P&L (7d)
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
138
488 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$154
$590 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$86
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-30 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
46% 56% -$10
Politics
25% 43% +$1
Crypto
23% 43% -$37
Sports
5% 71% +$16
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +30 $19 70¢ $21 +$2 10-21 09:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12 $9 70¢ $8 -$1 10-19 20:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +7 $4 100¢ $7 +$3 10-23 16:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 10-26 18:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-28 02:41
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-28 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-26 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 10-26 08:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 52¢ $2 -$1 10-19 07:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 27¢ $2 -$3 10-23 00:08
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 10-26 08:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-19 06:04
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$0 10-30 21:56
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 72¢ $2 $0 10-19 13:21
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 10-22 16:49
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-23 19:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 48¢ $1 +$0 10-22 19:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3 $1 49¢ $1 +$0 10-18 21:12
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-22 18:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-22 16:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-26 03:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-19 22:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-26 07:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-19 03:06
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-18 20:39
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-18 23:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-26 08:13
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-18 22:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:31
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-18 22:03