Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved (30d)

106

Trades (30d)

497

497 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$728

$728 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$198

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 11-01 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

40% 54% -$18

Politics

37% 58% +$0

Crypto

18% 47% -$38

Sports

4% 75% +$18

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+193	$137	72¢	$138	+$1	11-01 12:40
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	+23	$10	50¢	$11	+$1	11-01 06:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+12	$9	72¢	$9	$0	10-19 20:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+4	$4	94¢	$4	$0	10-28 02:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	74¢	$4	$0	10-26 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	90¢	$3	+$0	10-26 08:08
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$5	34¢	$3	-$2	10-23 00:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$3	56¢	$3	$0	10-19 07:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3	$2	74¢	$2	$0	10-19 06:04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	74¢	$2	$0	10-19 13:21
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	72¢	$2	+$1	10-22 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	10-22 16:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	44¢	$1	+$0	10-22 19:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+3	$1	46¢	$1	+$0	10-18 21:12
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+1	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	10-18 20:39
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-18 23:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-26 08:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-26 05:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-25 19:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	$0	10-19 16:05
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	10-18 19:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	10-26 17:07
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	10-18 22:57
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+1	$1	75¢	$1	$0	10-18 21:00
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	32¢	$1	+$0	10-24 18:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+1	$1	55¢	$1	$0	10-18 21:12
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	71¢	$1	$0	10-22 17:37
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+1	$1	54¢	$1	$0	10-18 19:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+2	$1	46¢	$1	$0	10-18 22:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-20 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	21	$137	193	0	+193	open	—	11-01 12:40
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	4	$25	16	16	+0	FURIA	+$2	10-28 14:48
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 21?	2	$22	30	30	+0	Up	-$18	10-21 15:10
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	1	$20	38	0	+38	PARIVISION	+$18	10-20 18:06
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh	16	$16	36	0	+36	Clement Chidekh	+$20	10-20 10:58
Fort Worth: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian	15	$15	31	19	+12	Erik Arutiunian	-$13	10-19 01:37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$13	32	0	+32	Natus Vincere	-$13	10-28 16:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$13	17	8	+10	No	+$7	10-25 21:45
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$12	13	13	+0	Yes	-$2	10-19 00:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	11	$12	15	8	+7	No	-$2	10-24 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 23:02
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	8	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-24 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	-$9	10-20 17:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	9	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	10-31 20:57
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	1	$10	12	0	+12	BIG	+$2	10-20 15:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	17	$10	8	3	+4	open	—	10-28 02:41
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	3	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	11-01 06:36
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	12	$9	9	8	+1	open	—	10-28 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	9	$9	14	0	+14	Yes	-$9	10-24 14:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	9	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	10-19 20:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 20:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	5	$7	24	24	+0	open	—	10-28 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19?	7	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	10-19 23:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	5	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-20 14:07
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	10	$6	7	2	+5	No	-$4	10-25 19:48
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	6	$6	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-30 13:35
Erzurumspor FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 2.5	1	$6	11	0	+11	Over	-$6	10-31 09:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	6	$6	35	0	+35	No	-$3	10-24 15:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	5	$5	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 21:31
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	1	$5	10	0	+10	JiJieHao	+$5	10-20 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:40:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	142	72¢	$102	0x3cde6f…
11-01 12:28:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x953bb5…
11-01 06:36:37	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x3079c1…
11-01 06:36:36	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x77672e…
10-31 20:57:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3266dd…
10-31 20:50:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x21aef2…
10-31 20:49:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5899e…
10-31 17:24:45	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xce03c5…
10-31 09:42:10	Erzurumspor FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9a7a3d…
10-30 21:56:51	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x344eec…
10-30 21:36:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x16f802…
10-30 13:35:27	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xba4f1c…
10-30 08:59:16	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x24acab…
10-29 01:05:14	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x0ea494…
10-28 20:17:14	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x60c975…
10-28 16:38:19	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x9ebd03…
10-28 15:43:41	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x17c504…
10-28 15:38:41	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x864665…
10-28 14:48:44	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	16	83¢	$14	0x9b4778…
10-28 14:40:04	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x26d6f3…
10-28 14:37:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0496a0…
10-28 14:36:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4776ed…
10-28 14:36:38	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x6b7faa…
10-28 14:36:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf7e74f…
10-28 14:30:11	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x339385…
10-28 14:29:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd34d46…
10-28 14:29:40	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x594012…
10-28 14:29:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xbdd071…
10-28 14:28:50	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x830dda…
10-28 14:28:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x3462e7…
10-28 14:27:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xe9c33c…
10-28 14:27:19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x860cd6…
10-28 14:25:05	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xce4d5a…
10-28 13:08:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Remy Bertola	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd892cc…
10-28 09:44:14	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x45ba8d…
10-28 05:38:31	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x345fa8…
10-28 02:41:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xef6c67…
10-28 02:37:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x8ce67b…
10-28 02:05:17	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x699eab…
10-28 01:30:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x18e706…
10-28 00:57:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xb23bc4…
10-28 00:31:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xcf4320…
10-28 00:22:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xf692cc…
10-28 00:16:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x4451e5…
10-27 23:27:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x670be6…
10-27 20:36:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x37ca79…
10-27 20:26:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc29269…
10-27 19:04:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe8f729…
10-27 17:14:53	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x335eb2…
10-27 16:11:32	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0x551bc0…
10-27 13:56:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb6b8c0…
10-27 13:32:36	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe9c0c3…
10-27 10:45:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xeba02e…
10-26 21:56:18	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x41f78a…
10-26 18:42:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb75264…
10-26 18:41:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xe88eab…
10-26 18:41:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfbcfd2…
10-26 17:07:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd83b8e…
10-26 15:05:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xe0c4cb…
10-26 10:16:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8b4005…
10-26 09:18:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x706dff…
10-26 09:17:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1fb0f7…
10-26 08:31:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04c649…
10-26 08:13:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1d8c27…
10-26 08:08:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3d99f9…
10-26 07:29:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1ab22e…
10-26 06:10:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xbcb4e6…
10-26 05:31:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa6863c…
10-26 05:31:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6084f4…
10-26 04:36:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe730f2…
10-26 03:53:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x995081…
10-26 03:50:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5a1c45…
10-26 03:49:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf00e74…
10-26 03:48:50	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0bb90…
10-26 03:46:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xad961d…
10-26 03:43:14	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c21fa…
10-26 03:40:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x52d1f6…
10-26 03:39:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf65f7…
10-26 03:36:21	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5cf711…
10-26 03:36:11	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x148b92…
10-26 02:56:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x24dc32…
10-26 02:56:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae002f…
10-26 02:55:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7aa446…
10-26 02:53:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4d0fe2…
10-25 22:17:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x00afb0…
10-25 22:08:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3cc091…
10-25 22:05:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x694bef…
10-25 22:03:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xaf7e9b…
10-25 21:53:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x373e7d…
10-25 21:53:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x31c362…
10-25 21:53:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc76cc0…
10-25 21:50:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c4d51…
10-25 21:50:24	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5ed012…
10-25 21:45:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xc1f220…
10-25 21:44:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x2467a3…
10-25 21:43:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4f0465…
10-25 21:39:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x3e9261…
10-25 21:39:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xce71ce…
10-25 21:38:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xa048d2…
10-25 21:38:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x46441a…