Realized P&L (90d)
+$65
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved (90d)
139
Trades (90d)
571
571 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.93K
$1.93K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$303
17 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 11-04 20:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
47% 57% +$23
Politics
38% 61% +$46
Crypto
8% 47% -$38
Sports
7% 75% +$34
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +297 $262 94¢ $281 +$19 11-04 20:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12 $9 94¢ $11 +$2 10-19 20:18
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 10-19 01:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-26 08:13
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-18 23:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 10-18 21:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-26 17:07
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 10-18 22:57
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-18 19:12
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-22 17:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-18 21:12
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 10-24 18:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $0 10-18 22:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +1 $0 24¢ $0 +$0 10-21 19:23
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +0 $0 48¢ $0 $0 11-03 19:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 10-22 21:21
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? No +1 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-18 22:56