Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$295

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

708

Trades

3,271

lifetime

Volume

$196.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$776

11 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-30 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Politics

71% 71% +$14,410

Other

29% 50% -$137

Crypto

0% 43% +$34

Sports

0% 23% -$103

Tech

0% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+301	$103	98¢	$296	+$193	10-03 22:00
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+300	$182	68¢	$202	+$20	10-29 20:25
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	+186	$36	95¢	$177	+$140	10-25 19:45
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+120	$42	32¢	$38	-$4	10-27 03:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+260	$74	14¢	$36	-$37	09-10 20:20
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+19	$10	78¢	$15	+$5	07-22 20:19
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+19	$10	22¢	$4	-$5	08-21 12:27
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+73	$17	4¢	$3	-$14	10-25 21:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	30¢	$1	-$1	08-06 12:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	22¢	$1	-$1	08-14 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	18¢	$1	-$2	08-16 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	24	$3.6K	3,377	3,377	+0	No	+$1,971	10-18 06:29
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	12	$2.7K	2,500	1,970	+530	open	—	10-30 13:57
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	7	$2.7K	1,541	1,541	+0	open	—	10-26 20:48
Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	8	$2.6K	1,659	1,659	+0	open	—	10-27 15:42
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	3	$2.2K	1,923	920	+1,002	open	—	10-22 19:19
Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	30	$2.1K	1,984	907	+1,077	open	—	10-29 20:55
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	19	$2.0K	1,238	1,238	+0	Yes	+$175	10-18 07:00
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	4	$1.9K	1,269	1,127	+142	open	—	10-09 13:14
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	13	$1.9K	2,755	2,316	+438	open	—	10-26 20:52
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	12	$1.8K	1,837	1,383	+454	open	—	10-30 13:57
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	11	$1.7K	1,664	1,148	+516	open	—	10-06 21:19
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	10-14 19:19
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	3	$1.6K	1,219	1,219	+0	open	—	10-27 01:30
Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	3	$1.6K	1,307	1,307	+0	open	—	10-12 08:15
Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?	23	$1.6K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	+$302	09-18 04:48
Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?	18	$1.5K	1,650	429	+1,221	open	—	10-20 09:30
Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini?	8	$1.5K	910	910	+0	open	—	10-22 13:41
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	14	$1.5K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	09-06 20:46
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	15	$1.5K	779	779	+0	Yes	+$57	10-04 14:27
Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	10	$1.4K	1,137	762	+375	No	+$419	10-06 20:46
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	12	$1.4K	861	861	+0	Yes	+$152	10-23 07:21
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	18	$1.4K	3,551	1,562	+1,989	No	-$43	10-18 04:05
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	14	$1.3K	1,141	1,141	+0	Yes	+$905	10-18 07:12
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	3	$1.3K	1,000	507	+493	open	—	10-26 15:00
Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	12	$1.3K	767	646	+121	No	+$109	10-24 17:48
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	9	$1.2K	669	652	+17	No	+$88	10-13 18:37
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	13	$1.2K	1,857	1,045	+812	Yes	-$98	10-27 02:06
Will Gaguim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	9	$1.1K	1,267	967	+299	No	+$383	09-14 13:48
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	15	$1.1K	1,353	349	+1,004	Yes	+$374	10-27 02:07
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	20	$1.1K	3,138	0	+3,138	open	—	10-28 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:04:54	Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	78	78¢	$61	0xafdee9…
10-30 15:00:51	Will the next Israeli government hold between 64 and 66 seats?	No	BUY	678	76¢	$513	0x21f609…
10-30 14:57:51	Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	136	20¢	$27	0x5c1159…
10-30 14:16:36	Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xac6571…
10-30 14:15:19	Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x9ca81d…
10-30 14:06:28	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	158	65¢	$103	0xe120da…
10-30 13:57:51	Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	454	20¢	$93	0x6c1c1a…
10-30 13:57:51	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	74¢	$351	0x5fece1…
10-29 21:49:28	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x66a9b7…
10-29 21:48:03	Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xbb75fe…
10-29 21:48:03	Will PSOE win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	184	24¢	$44	0x4e8ce1…
10-29 21:36:10	Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	No	BUY	474	65¢	$310	0x40c312…
10-29 21:31:18	Will PSOE win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5f750c…
10-29 21:30:57	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	169	56¢	$95	0x1f324d…
10-29 21:29:39	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	353	63¢	$223	0x5ad803…
10-29 21:27:27	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x8fa138…
10-29 21:25:28	Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0x8808e4…
10-29 21:24:46	Will Podemos win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	298	32¢	$95	0xb63243…
10-29 21:24:03	Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x5d751d…
10-29 21:22:39	Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x8f7b7a…
10-29 21:22:36	Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4d50e7…
10-29 21:22:34	Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	368	7¢	$27	0x463fe5…
10-29 21:21:39	Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x690f19…
10-29 21:21:21	Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	150	65¢	$97	0xa2fa2d…
10-29 21:17:10	Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	70	39¢	$28	0xff114f…
10-29 21:17:10	Will Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	155	87¢	$135	0x394a93…
10-29 20:55:51	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xc9e610…
10-29 20:55:45	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x32fb35…
10-29 20:37:09	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x670a96…
10-29 20:37:04	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0xffd2f9…
10-29 20:25:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	300	61¢	$182	0x21aa11…
10-29 17:41:44	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xcc214c…
10-29 17:39:50	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	120	52¢	$63	0x352586…
10-29 17:39:41	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	73	51¢	$37	0xd3fd47…
10-29 13:27:01	Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	BUY	392	19¢	$75	0x4611d4…
10-29 06:37:43	Government shutdown by December 12?	No	SELL	300	72¢	$215	0x25e5d9…
10-29 06:37:05	Government shutdown by December 31?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xb1fb0f…
10-29 05:53:53	Government shutdown by December 12?	No	BUY	844	63¢	$529	0xf868c5…
10-29 05:21:59	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0f8b5d…
10-29 05:21:50	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbffd53…
10-29 05:21:47	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7d47bd…
10-29 05:20:10	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x1acafd…
10-29 04:35:32	Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?	No	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x89064f…
10-29 04:25:58	Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	398	59¢	$235	0xa5556f…
10-29 04:23:13	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	156	42¢	$66	0xbf24a7…
10-29 04:07:07	Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0x76738c…
10-29 03:54:05	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	Yes	BUY	129	74¢	$96	0xcf3403…
10-28 23:46:37	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	250	26¢	$65	0xd1305f…
10-28 20:24:38	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x30c4a4…
10-28 18:46:47	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	105	66¢	$69	0x92b837…
10-28 18:46:04	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	92	68¢	$62	0x25d491…
10-28 18:44:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	105	53¢	$56	0x857717…
10-28 18:41:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0xf1c86c…
10-28 18:36:16	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc272b4…
10-28 17:59:43	Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0xb04f07…
10-28 17:51:20	Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x8494e2…
10-28 17:38:17	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	289	70¢	$202	0xc2cf5d…
10-28 17:38:17	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xbf1292…
10-28 16:52:01	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x16d584…
10-28 16:39:14	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	380	70¢	$264	0xd188eb…
10-28 16:39:14	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xc61597…
10-28 16:33:34	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5ff852…
10-28 16:32:23	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	309	51¢	$158	0x60d095…
10-28 16:32:02	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	BUY	113	69¢	$78	0x03b47f…
10-28 16:31:34	Will Podemos win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	140	75¢	$106	0x3059e9…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc7af2e…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa39266…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	279	78¢	$218	0x3db420…
10-28 16:29:56	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$27	0x487abe…
10-28 16:28:29	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x06a7f4…
10-28 16:25:14	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdc46b5…
10-28 16:24:04	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	477	54¢	$256	0xde1d95…
10-28 16:24:04	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	832	52¢	$435	0x2bd943…
10-28 09:23:49	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1a3c1f…
10-28 09:23:04	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x35ec8c…
10-27 22:21:29	Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	254	87¢	$221	0x1e6fc0…
10-27 22:19:51	Will PP win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x08c912…
10-27 21:44:48	Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x539019…
10-27 21:39:47	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8ce7f2…
10-27 20:29:14	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	SELL	744	74¢	$550	0xbc8176…
10-27 20:10:29	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa90d47…
10-27 19:48:09	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	BUY	925	73¢	$675	0x06a79b…
10-27 18:50:39	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xc6692a…
10-27 17:50:02	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46aaa4…
10-27 16:31:51	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	473	45¢	$215	0xa5b007…
10-27 15:43:56	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	139	74¢	$103	0xedae62…
10-27 15:42:48	Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	SELL	588	85¢	$502	0x2c40cc…
10-27 14:36:30	Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	588	76¢	$449	0x7fd85d…
10-27 14:20:21	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x21a66b…
10-27 13:26:11	Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	137	42¢	$57	0xb7aab3…
10-27 13:23:53	Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	555	60¢	$333	0x663e72…
10-27 13:22:30	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?	Yes	BUY	218	79¢	$172	0xcd07c1…
10-27 13:22:02	Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xd2f3c2…
10-27 13:20:57	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	186	73¢	$137	0xd94ec5…
10-27 10:56:33	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	75	66¢	$49	0x24c1a6…
10-27 10:35:27	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	253	26¢	$66	0xb06d27…
10-27 10:33:26	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x87ae20…
10-27 08:54:09	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe3a4c1…
10-27 03:58:03	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x4f0edd…
10-27 03:52:54	Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	95	35¢	$33	0xe3f656…