Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.21K

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

376

Trades

3,083

lifetime

Volume

$3.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.21K

Open exposure

$28.3K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

60% 77% -$170,459

Politics

38% 79% +$10,368

Crypto

3% 50% -$983

Sports

0% 100% +$669

Tech

0% 100% +$1,613

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+25,879	$10,095	82¢	$21.2K	+$11,139	10-20 19:27
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	+10,726	$2,773	32¢	$3.4K	+$606	10-22 10:00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,478	$2,207	32¢	$1.8K	-$454	07-20 22:53
us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	+18,917	$7,752	6¢	$1.2K	-$6,551	10-17 02:26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+3,382	$2,353	11¢	$372	-$1,981	08-27 21:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,608	$579	16¢	$249	-$330	10-23 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+549	$138	10¢	$52	-$86	10-23 09:59
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+589	$29	4¢	$24	-$5	10-26 11:16
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+351	$80	6¢	$19	-$61	10-23 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+875	$166	2¢	$18	-$149	10-23 09:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	09-06 19:31
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$85	20¢	$0	+$85	07-15 07:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$232.2K	130,958	119,590	+11,368	Yes	+$12,150	06-17 01:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$193.6K	103,875	103,800	+75	No	+$13,857	04-24 21:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	43	$174.6K	89,923	89,923	+0	Yes	+$4,922	03-01 07:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	336	$152.5K	1,214,868	1,217,141	-2,274	Yes	-$114,036	01-31 06:45
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	7	$144.9K	75,955	75,955	+0	Yes	+$6,902	02-12 18:07
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	12	$139.9K	140,000	0	+140,000	No	+$140	01-20 23:17
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	16	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$200	01-18 01:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$94.3K	95,000	0	+95,000	No	+$660	06-03 21:41
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	45	$94.3K	95,031	0	+95,031	No	+$712	01-01 04:02
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$91.0K	92,904	0	+92,904	Yes	+$1,952	02-02 23:03
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	2	$74.8K	74,880	0	+74,880	Yes	+$87	06-23 21:40
will iran strike israel on march 6	30	$58.7K	59,045	0	+59,045	No	+$354	03-10 23:12
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	84	$54.0K	120,272	119,181	+1,091	No	-$53,751	07-07 19:39
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$50.1K	50,184	0	+50,184	Yes	+$50	09-21 10:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$50	04-10 00:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$200	04-07 08:36
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	14	$48.2K	25,406	26,615	-1,210	No	+$2,967	01-01 23:02
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	10	$45.4K	52,527	0	+52,527	No	-$1,360	02-14 11:19
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	35	$42.9K	73,023	3,751	+69,272	Yes	+$8,681	05-31 08:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	5	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	+$40	03-12 18:46
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	12	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$40	06-29 23:19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	7	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$40	06-29 23:18
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	27	$39.3K	49,005	0	+49,005	Yes	+$3,230	04-29 20:13
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	78	$39.2K	54,194	2,012	+52,181	No	+$6,473	01-05 10:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$38.9K	38,983	0	+38,983	Yes	+$39	03-12 17:48
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	42	$37.8K	74,790	37,537	+37,253	Yes	-$33,600	07-18 22:13
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	2	$36.8K	36,874	0	+36,874	No	+$57	04-04 04:09
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 160m and 170m	4	$35.9K	35,949	0	+35,949	No	+$54	04-04 02:06
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	3	$31.9K	32,893	0	+32,893	No	+$961	09-02 06:59
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	3	$31.6K	32,195	0	+32,195	Yes	+$586	03-26 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:16:32	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	5¢	$7	0x363364…
10-25 21:24:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2ee7ff…
10-25 13:17:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xa10f39…
10-25 13:17:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	262	79¢	$207	0x37919f…
10-25 03:58:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	586	77¢	$449	0x2653da…
10-25 03:58:24	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	130	78¢	$101	0x7abb1f…
10-25 02:29:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	276	77¢	$213	0x801f5c…
10-25 02:29:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	206	80¢	$165	0x3fb7c1…
10-25 02:26:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0xe1254f…
10-25 02:26:57	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	159	61¢	$97	0xbc3ee7…
10-25 02:26:57	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x22bbee…
10-25 02:26:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	629	61¢	$383	0xe12272…
10-25 02:26:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xdc50d5…
10-25 02:26:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	136	58¢	$78	0x711bb5…
10-25 02:26:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1b629b…
10-25 01:20:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	66	77¢	$51	0x5de814…
10-25 01:20:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	131	77¢	$101	0xd7104f…
10-25 01:20:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	659	76¢	$500	0xb8a02f…
10-25 01:20:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	220	76¢	$168	0x2682eb…
10-24 19:50:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $19.5M?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xe88da0…
10-24 04:30:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xaa2c99…
10-24 04:30:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x632330…
10-24 04:30:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x32b026…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd7b1ec…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	2,342	17¢	$399	0x9779c5…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x966f32…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	2,383	94¢	$2,232	0x6d33b3…
10-24 04:29:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x172ff6…
10-24 04:29:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	861	45¢	$387	0xeba5c8…
10-24 04:29:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xbcbdd3…
10-24 04:29:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9a5d79…
10-24 04:29:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x510ef7…
10-24 04:29:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x32f1bb…
10-24 03:38:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	68	85¢	$58	0x62fed9…
10-24 03:38:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xb11fea…
10-24 03:38:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	136	85¢	$116	0x53f6ca…
10-24 03:38:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	136	85¢	$116	0x539f3f…
10-24 03:38:47	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	1,256	40¢	$499	0x45442f…
10-24 03:27:38	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	111	22¢	$24	0x671145…
10-24 03:15:32	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0xeb9d5b…
10-24 03:15:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6df855…
10-24 03:15:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x52e89c…
10-24 03:15:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x38605b…
10-24 03:15:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0xb9718b…
10-24 03:15:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	1,009	40¢	$403	0xa3eb7d…
10-24 03:15:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x6aa356…
10-24 03:15:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	395	60¢	$237	0x1a866f…
10-24 03:13:11	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	283	85¢	$241	0x0b6588…
10-23 17:23:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xae0ee5…
10-23 17:23:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x81755f…
10-23 17:23:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x377f5c…
10-23 17:23:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x2e2bcd…
10-23 17:23:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x0a4c64…
10-23 17:23:18	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	574	28¢	$159	0x88558e…
10-23 09:59:06	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	437	25¢	$109	0x5e337c…
10-23 09:58:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	19¢	$45	0x4ca743…
10-23 07:50:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,608	36¢	$579	0x4fcc79…
10-23 07:50:14	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	26¢	$29	0x3801ab…
10-23 07:50:11	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	23¢	$80	0xf566ab…
10-23 07:50:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	640	19¢	$122	0x8642c9…
10-22 11:20:45	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	5,026	17¢	$854	0x9fe465…
10-22 10:00:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	239	50¢	$119	0xdfb80a…
10-22 09:55:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9,559	26¢	$2,513	0x4a601e…
10-22 09:55:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,406	27¢	$380	0x3af307…
10-20 19:27:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,900	76¢	$4,508	0x4eef69…
10-20 19:25:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,340	76¢	$1,024	0x161a6b…
10-17 10:19:29	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5,026	12¢	$588	0x42ac66…
10-17 02:26:53	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	4,691	5¢	$226	0x05ce54…
10-16 23:39:02	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	37,566	0¢	$38	0x79324e…
10-16 22:45:21	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xbf2bea…
10-16 22:45:20	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5,128	78¢	$3,997	0xa5cbb8…
10-16 22:45:02	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	3,087	79¢	$2,437	0xce99d0…
10-16 22:44:45	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	22,217	79¢	$17,504	0x7fd4bb…
10-16 22:44:14	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2,530	68¢	$1,720	0x1d3daf…
10-16 22:42:29	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	3,500	60¢	$2,112	0x61faa5…
10-16 22:39:54	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	3,601	54¢	$1,950	0xd3fde4…
10-12 12:27:21	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,623	44¢	$710	0x3dcd1c…
10-10 22:19:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	562	40¢	$225	0xf5d1fa…
10-10 22:19:16	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	562	41¢	$230	0x7d0ad1…
10-10 22:17:40	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x474639…
10-10 22:16:36	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	562	43¢	$242	0x4b179c…
10-10 22:09:46	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	68	47¢	$32	0xee2874…
10-10 22:07:09	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x79e238…
10-10 22:04:28	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0xb140bf…
10-10 22:04:09	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,289	49¢	$632	0x1b40be…
10-10 22:03:46	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	118	48¢	$57	0x2125d2…
10-10 21:56:04	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xac5a00…
10-10 21:56:04	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa473ba…
10-10 21:56:04	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x501829…
10-10 21:56:01	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	446	48¢	$214	0xdd6181…
10-10 21:56:01	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x2777fc…
10-10 21:51:03	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,582	49¢	$775	0x94925f…
10-10 21:50:51	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x53b0a9…
10-10 21:50:36	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x56c6ac…
10-10 21:50:27	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	104	49¢	$51	0x1206e3…
10-10 21:48:40	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0xb77ebe…
10-10 21:18:06	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$99	0x0c2593…
10-10 21:16:57	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	410	52¢	$213	0x8284ad…
10-10 21:07:31	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	445	54¢	$240	0x6cd9b8…
10-10 21:06:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	129	55¢	$71	0x80cb17…