Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
220
Trades
327
lifetime
Volume
$3.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$72
12 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 11-01 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
83% 88% -$1
Crypto
8% 96% +$11
Politics
5% 67% +$12
Sports
4% 85% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +63 $20 43¢ $27 +$7 10-27 08:30
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $4 26¢ $6 +$2 10-20 08:34
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $4 52¢ $5 +$1 10-20 08:34
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $4 28¢ $4 +$0 10-20 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 10-28 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +19 $4 22¢ $4 +$0 10-28 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-20 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $4 18¢ $4 $0 10-28 19:35
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +15 $4 26¢ $4 $0 11-01 00:35
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $4 10¢ $4 $0 10-20 08:34
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $4 42¢ $4 $0 10-28 19:35
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? No +11 $4 18¢ $2 -$2 10-26 23:31