Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$531

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

33.5%

Resolved

797

Trades

2,383

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$98

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

45% 21% -$224

Crypto

28% 47% -$264

Politics

22% 7% -$38

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 40% -$7

Sports

1% 81% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	+20	$17	86¢	$17	$0	10-23 12:19
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	84¢	$17	+$0	10-21 03:52
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+20	$30	63¢	$13	-$18	10-07 10:10
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+17	$13	66¢	$11	-$2	10-07 20:14
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+12	$10	89¢	$11	+$0	10-24 16:36
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+20	$12	37¢	$7	-$5	10-07 10:10
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	+9	$8	81¢	$7	$0	10-25 17:40
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$7	34¢	$5	-$2	10-08 21:38
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	+20	$3	16¢	$3	$0	10-21 03:52
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	14¢	$3	+$0	10-23 12:19
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	+9	$1	19¢	$2	+$0	10-25 17:40
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+13	$2	11¢	$1	$0	10-24 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	10	$147	160	120	+40	open	—	10-07 10:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 06:00 UTC	1	$103	368	0	+368	Down	-$103	07-12 06:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 00:45 UTC	8	$103	195	0	+195	Up	+$92	07-12 00:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 17:30 UTC	1	$103	178	0	+178	Up	-$103	07-17 17:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 09:15 UTC	1	$103	182	0	+182	Down	+$78	07-15 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 12:30 UTC	1	$103	179	0	+179	Up	+$76	07-19 12:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 22:30 UTC	1	$103	182	0	+182	Down	-$103	07-12 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 08:45 UTC	1	$103	179	0	+179	Up	-$103	07-13 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 15:45 UTC	1	$103	188	0	+188	Down	+$84	07-15 15:45
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	6	$99	199	0	+199	open	—	10-25 09:45
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$98	193	0	+193	open	—	10-24 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23?	15	$97	102	96	+6	No	-$5	09-22 23:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	10	$96	178	0	+178	Up	-$96	07-20 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?	17	$96	132	84	+48	No	-$17	09-21 14:28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 22?	12	$93	98	98	+0	Yes	$0	09-21 11:24
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	13	$84	98	98	+0	Yes	-$6	09-24 14:36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 21 2026?	9	$83	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	09-21 13:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?	15	$76	79	79	+0	No	-$1	09-21 14:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	9	$75	100	58	+42	No	-$2	09-21 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	8	$75	78	78	+0	No	$0	09-21 16:09
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	9	$68	132	0	+132	open	—	10-10 06:25
will the next grok model 4pt8 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	6	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	09-24 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23?	13	$66	64	58	+6	No	-$3	09-22 19:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	1	$64	123	0	+123	Up	+$60	07-08 15:30
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 21 2026?	6	$63	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-21 18:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 04:30 UTC	1	$63	116	0	+116	Up	-$63	07-09 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 23?	11	$61	72	48	+24	Yes	$0	09-22 10:22
will ewy reach 188 in september 2026 from september 15	5	$60	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	09-17 12:09
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?	4	$58	112	0	+112	open	—	10-18 14:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$58	109	0	+109	open	—	10-17 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:41:22	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x524e31…
10-31 02:07:21	Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5444f9…
10-30 10:08:42	Will Vox win 66-70 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x473aa7…
10-29 21:08:01	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x526b15…
10-29 15:11:49	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf194e6…
10-29 13:25:40	Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb5536b…
10-29 12:56:53	Will Vox win 76 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x708809…
10-29 12:55:20	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x45adb3…
10-29 07:40:41	Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x61fa1a…
10-29 03:24:49	Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xfb0c8c…
10-29 02:22:04	Will Vox win 66-70 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3db86d…
10-29 00:11:28	Will Mohammad Raji win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xed81db…
10-28 23:43:23	Will brawk play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf8aa13…
10-28 22:06:23	Will Marved play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd15455…
10-28 19:18:55	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa4800d…
10-28 18:50:02	Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb0218a…
10-28 16:32:32	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa80630…
10-28 16:24:56	Will Vox win 76 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4f0a5f…
10-28 15:24:32	Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x17411f…
10-28 14:18:13	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x93e749…
10-28 13:39:58	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b60e6…
10-28 13:38:56	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xafb5af…
10-28 13:37:46	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd5014f…
10-28 13:37:01	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2d2a72…
10-28 12:35:08	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6dbf12…
10-28 11:18:17	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xdf2fd3…
10-28 10:46:20	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x3f8969…
10-28 10:08:05	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x8b3812…
10-28 09:55:17	Will BNG win the most seats in A Coruña in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf36f6a…
10-28 09:42:20	Will BNG win the most seats in A Coruña in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x789f96…
10-28 09:40:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x9e80f5…
10-28 09:40:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x2ae646…
10-28 09:32:55	Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa29970…
10-28 08:32:40	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xefda9a…
10-28 08:32:40	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x34b184…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xced830…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xad8e47…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa04cc7…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4496ba…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x114bee…
10-28 08:31:01	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x01f4e9…
10-28 06:53:10	Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1b2fc9…
10-28 06:07:22	Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x9e2845…
10-28 04:46:02	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x522f59…
10-28 04:46:01	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x603b2e…
10-28 02:28:30	Will John Goodman be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x1e8699…
10-28 01:53:42	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0e17df…
10-28 01:53:41	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0xb0ada2…
10-28 01:24:35	Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x555caa…
10-28 01:06:33	Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x5bbdc3…
10-28 00:48:09	Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8efbaf…
10-27 23:23:24	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x671d9f…
10-27 23:23:23	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xcba6d8…
10-27 22:49:03	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x78abeb…
10-27 22:49:02	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x3fdb6f…
10-27 20:48:36	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x57ad18…
10-27 20:41:14	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5a1864…
10-27 18:08:12	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd5fd39…
10-27 18:08:12	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb88627…
10-27 18:08:12	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x96afb4…
10-27 18:08:12	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x58c7da…
10-27 16:40:18	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x5a8f0a…
10-27 16:31:06	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1b6556…
10-27 16:24:45	Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x80d782…
10-27 16:23:14	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbcb894…
10-27 16:04:30	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x983ac8…
10-27 15:05:15	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbf19a3…
10-27 15:02:20	next israeli government formed by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x22406e…
10-27 15:02:08	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa258e8…
10-26 10:43:50	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x20813b…
10-26 10:33:21	Will "Saba" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x95959b…
10-26 01:22:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xd4791f…
10-26 01:00:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x67557b…
10-26 00:18:12	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb2a882…
10-25 23:03:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xdea75a…
10-25 22:24:09	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9dc90c…
10-25 22:23:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x2305a8…
10-25 22:23:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xdcead3…
10-25 22:18:26	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe41c97…
10-25 22:18:26	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb1136b…
10-25 22:18:26	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4fa5b8…
10-25 22:18:26	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0d94c2…
10-25 22:10:35	Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xd72326…
10-25 22:10:35	Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x3205e5…
10-25 22:10:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x99a1d2…
10-25 20:41:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb90016…
10-25 20:41:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x05bac9…
10-25 20:41:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x052326…
10-25 20:41:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x010e4a…
10-25 19:31:14	Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5438be…
10-25 19:31:14	Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c1184…
10-25 17:40:48	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xc9cf6b…
10-25 17:40:48	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc98771…
10-25 17:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x49b700…
10-25 17:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xececf8…
10-25 17:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x284eef…
10-25 17:33:56	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x2709ec…
10-25 17:33:54	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	55	64¢	$36	0x8c7ffe…
10-25 17:23:24	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xdc329e…
10-25 16:44:11	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5b7829…