Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$612
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved (90d)
293
Trades (90d)
1,666
3,285 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.01K
$12.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$508
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
55% 27% +$751
Other
40% 34% +$478
Sports
4% 26% -$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 12¢ $41 +$1 10-18 07:02
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +61 $21 63¢ $39 +$18 10-29 00:30
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,600 $28 2¢ $38 +$10 10-29 17:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +85 $26 43¢ $37 +$10 09-21 11:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +277 $18 10¢ $29 +$11 09-05 15:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +201 $27 14¢ $28 +$1 10-27 00:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 74¢ $-28 -$2 09-13 16:42
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,712 $4 2¢ $27 +$23 09-29 16:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +206 $14 12¢ $26 +$12 08-29 22:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +172 $28 15¢ $25 -$3 10-29 00:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +894 $21 3¢ $24 +$3 11-02 01:57
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +200 $20 11¢ $23 +$3 11-01 17:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +53 $12 34¢ $18 +$5 10-27 15:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 16¢ $17 -$7 10-27 14:50
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +104 $10 16¢ $17 +$7 09-10 11:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 40¢ $-14 -$9 05-27 16:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -17 -$10 68¢ $-12 -$1 05-01 19:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $14 12¢ $12 -$2 10-26 03:00
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +524 $2 2¢ $9 +$7 10-27 19:03
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 09-21 13:01
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +874 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 08-18 15:00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 10-31 09:06
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 10-26 07:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $2 4¢ $4 +$3 10-26 10:10
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 10-29 15:59
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 11-02 10:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 09-30 21:42
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 09-10 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -7 -$3 29¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 22:04
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-05 23:23