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bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$519
Unrealized P&L
+$922
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved (30d)
116
Trades (30d)
802
3,617 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.86K
$13.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 22:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Politics
58% 28% +$1,138
Other
38% 34% +$506
Sports
4% 26% -$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +149 $16 96¢ $143 +$127 11-04 05:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +140 $18 97¢ $136 +$118 10-31 14:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +135 $46 100¢ $134 +$88 11-03 12:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +116 $12 80¢ $92 +$80 11-04 03:45
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +92 $15 91¢ $83 +$68 11-04 04:14
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No — +80 $30 100¢ $80 +$49 10-12 20:07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +304 $23 21¢ $63 +$40 11-04 14:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +56 $18 96¢ $54 +$36 11-03 21:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +50 $10 97¢ $49 +$39 10-29 15:49
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,700 $30 3¢ $47 +$17 11-03 18:48
Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes +49 $6 94¢ $46 +$40 11-04 04:12
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 12¢ $44 +$4 10-18 07:02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +45 $4 99¢ $44 +$40 10-28 02:43
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? Yes +44 $6 95¢ $42 +$36 09-22 14:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 97¢ $-37 -$11 09-13 16:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? Yes +101 $8 36¢ $36 +$29 11-05 21:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +36 $5 98¢ $35 +$30 09-21 12:56
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +56 $18 53¢ $30 +$12 09-14 17:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +246 $19 12¢ $30 +$11 11-04 02:40
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +61 $21 47¢ $29 +$8 10-29 00:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +27 $6 97¢ $26 +$20 09-23 21:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 24¢ $25 +$1 10-27 14:50
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26 $6 97¢ $25 +$19 09-10 12:54
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +260 $39 10¢ $25 -$14 11-03 19:06
Will Troy Jackson run 0 to 3 points behind Hannah Pingree? Yes — +46 $10 53¢ $24 +$14 11-04 05:23
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V? Yes +249 $2 9¢ $23 +$21 10-05 08:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 64¢ $-22 -$17 05-27 16:31
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? Yes +91 $14 24¢ $22 +$8 11-03 09:25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +894 $21 2¢ $22 +$1 11-02 01:57
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? No — +70 $10 26¢ $18 +$8 11-04 21:51