Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved (30d)
75
Trades (30d)
641
3,269 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.07K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$494
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Politics
55% 26% +$748
Other
41% 34% +$478
Sports
4% 25% -$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +61 $21 68¢ $42 +$21 10-29 00:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 12¢ $41 +$1 10-18 07:02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,600 $28 2¢ $38 +$10 10-29 17:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +85 $26 44¢ $37 +$11 09-21 11:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +201 $27 15¢ $29 +$2 10-27 00:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 74¢ $-28 -$2 09-13 16:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +277 $18 10¢ $27 +$9 09-05 15:17
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +172 $28 16¢ $27 -$1 10-29 00:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +206 $14 13¢ $26 +$12 08-29 22:30
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +180 $18 11¢ $20 +$2 10-30 15:47
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,712 $4 1¢ $19 +$15 09-29 16:22
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +104 $10 18¢ $19 +$9 09-10 11:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +53 $12 34¢ $18 +$6 10-27 15:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +652 $16 2¢ $16 +$0 09-30 21:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 15¢ $16 -$9 10-27 14:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 37¢ $-13 -$8 05-27 16:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -17 -$10 70¢ $-12 -$2 05-01 19:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $14 11¢ $11 -$3 10-26 03:00
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +524 $2 2¢ $9 +$7 10-27 19:03
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 09-21 13:01
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +874 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 08-18 15:00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$0 10-29 15:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 10-31 09:06
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $2 6¢ $6 +$4 10-26 10:10
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 $0 10-26 07:17
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 09-30 21:42
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 09-10 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -7 -$3 26¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 22:04
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-05 23:23
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +125 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-26 16:57