Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$132
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved (7d)
14
Trades (7d)
193
3,261 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.10K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$491
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Politics
55% 27% +$756
Other
41% 34% +$505
Sports
4% 25% -$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 12¢ $41 +$1 10-18 07:02
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +61 $21 64¢ $39 +$18 10-29 00:30
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,600 $28 2¢ $37 +$9 10-29 17:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +85 $26 42¢ $36 +$9 09-21 11:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +201 $27 14¢ $27 $0 10-27 00:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 72¢ $-27 -$2 09-13 16:42
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +172 $28 16¢ $27 -$1 10-29 00:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +277 $18 10¢ $26 +$8 09-05 15:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +206 $14 12¢ $25 +$11 08-29 22:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +53 $12 42¢ $23 +$10 10-27 15:02
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,712 $4 1¢ $18 +$14 09-29 16:22
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +180 $18 10¢ $18 -$1 10-30 15:47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +652 $16 2¢ $16 +$0 09-30 21:42
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $5 15¢ $15 +$10 10-26 07:17
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +524 $2 3¢ $15 +$13 10-27 19:03
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +104 $10 13¢ $14 +$4 09-10 11:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -17 -$10 70¢ $-12 -$2 05-01 19:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 33¢ $-12 -$6 05-27 16:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $14 12¢ $12 -$2 10-26 03:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 9¢ $10 -$15 10-27 14:50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 14¢ $9 -$1 09-21 13:01
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +874 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 08-18 15:00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 10-29 15:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 10-31 09:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +129 $18 4¢ $4 -$13 09-06 20:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$2 10-26 10:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 09-30 21:42
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 09-10 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -7 -$3 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 22:04
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-05 23:23