Will Democrats win the Iowa Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?
open
Total volume
$559
$67 in 24h
Trades
64
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$918
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-29 23:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $215
vs crowd: 6% YES on $466)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $21 | $284 | $263 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $92 | $91 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $5 | $64 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $3 | $212 | $210 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $24 | $19 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $57 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $38 | $37 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $18 | $108 | $91 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +281 | $15 | $15 | 11 | 10-29 23:36 |
| Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | +93 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-27 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +86 | $83 | $83 | 5 | 10-26 07:58 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 10-29 23:36 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +47 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 10-21 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 10-15 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd59…0231 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-27 18:17 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-22 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-26 07:58 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-22 07:16 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-22 14:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-22 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-22 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-23 16:27 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-21 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 04:18 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-21 13:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $5 | 5 | 10-22 18:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:36:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x65c250… |
| 10-29 23:36:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x65c250… |
| 10-29 20:43:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x676eed… |
| 10-29 20:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x676eed… |
| 10-27 18:17:24 | (anonymous) 0xfd59…0231 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd944ca… |
| 10-27 18:17:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd944ca… |
| 10-27 18:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd944ca… |
| 10-27 18:17:24 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd944ca… |
| 10-26 07:58:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x1e8fae… |
| 10-26 07:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e8fae… |
| 10-26 07:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x1e8fae… |
| 10-26 04:18:20 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c2b… |
| 10-26 04:18:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbe4c2b… |
| 10-23 16:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa77af5… |
| 10-23 16:27:20 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa77af5… |
| 10-22 18:35:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb09dc5… |
| 10-22 18:35:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb09dc5… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb3b8c5… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xb3b8c5… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9f4254… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xcd8d87… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x9f4254… |
| 10-22 14:52:21 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xcd8d87… |
| 10-22 09:24:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xdb286d… |
| 10-22 09:24:50 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xdb286d… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x1115c8… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x0437fb… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x1115c8… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x1115c8… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x0437fb… |
| 10-22 07:16:21 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0437fb… |
| 10-21 13:37:20 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 40 | 77¢ | $31 | 0xd1f3fe… |
| 10-21 13:37:20 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd1f3fe… |
| 10-21 13:37:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd1f3fe… |
| 10-21 13:37:20 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0xd1f3fe… |
| 10-21 13:37:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x5e51aa… |
| 10-21 13:37:15 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x5e51aa… |
| 10-21 13:20:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea50b3… |
| 10-21 13:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xea50b3… |
| 10-21 13:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xea50b3… |
| 10-21 13:20:59 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xea50b3… |
| 10-21 07:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x25d077… |
| 10-21 07:31:24 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x25d077… |
| 10-20 16:11:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1a7d8… |
| 10-20 16:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1a7d8… |
| 10-20 11:15:30 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x467fae… |
| 10-20 11:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x467fae… |
| 10-18 20:23:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x5be646… |
| 10-18 20:23:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5be646… |
| 10-17 09:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x28ba68… |
| 10-17 09:22:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x28ba68… |
| 10-17 09:22:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x28ba68… |
| 10-16 18:14:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f3390… |
| 10-16 18:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6f3390… |
| 10-16 18:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f3390… |
| 10-16 01:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7ba91… |
| 10-16 01:46:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd7ba91… |
| 10-16 01:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd7ba91… |
| 10-15 23:34:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4b6143… |
| 10-15 23:34:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c7335… |
| 10-15 23:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x6c7335… |
| 10-15 23:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4b6143… |
| 10-15 23:32:31 | (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x1e74c0… |
| 10-15 23:32:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e74c0… |