Realized P&L
-$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
825
Trades
2,420
lifetime
Volume
$99.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$4.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
52% 77% -$10,435
Other
38% 86% -$388
Sports
9% 85% -$415
Tech
1% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,157 $1,142 97¢ $1.1K -$15 10-22 03:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +493 $316 82¢ $407 +$91 10-22 15:53
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +402 $400 100¢ $400 $0 10-22 06:04
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +327 $325 99¢ $324 -$1 10-23 15:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +237 $230 99¢ $235 +$5 10-24 01:29
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +228 $227 99¢ $226 -$2 10-24 00:33
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +145 $144 100¢ $144 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +142 $142 100¢ $142 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +139 $132 94¢ $131 -$1 10-24 23:56
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +120 $120 100¢ $120 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +102 $100 93¢ $95 -$5 10-25 00:17
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $94 100¢ $94 +$0 10-16 17:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +81 $79 98¢ $80 +$1 10-23 17:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $81 68¢ $70 -$11 10-23 09:42
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $77 68¢ $68 -$9 10-22 22:51
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +64 $63 100¢ $63 +$0 10-21 05:48
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +90 $78 68¢ $61 -$18 10-15 15:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 15%-18%? No +101 $94 57¢ $57 -$37 10-23 19:13
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 +$0 10-21 08:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 6%-9%? No +50 $40 85¢ $43 +$3 10-15 16:19
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 $0 10-22 15:04
will jalen brunson win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +41 $41 99¢ $41 $0 10-22 12:52
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 10-08 19:50
will cooper flagg win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 10-16 18:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%? No +35 $26 98¢ $34 +$9 10-17 14:36
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 $0 10-20 18:51
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +33 $32 100¢ $33 +$1 10-25 19:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +36 $35 86¢ $31 -$3 10-16 17:20