Realized P&L
+$102
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
30
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$1.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$137
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
88% 56% +$80
Other
12% 50% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +54 $35 70¢ $38 +$3 10-26 03:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +47 $30 72¢ $34 +$4 10-26 03:22
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +136 $15 12¢ $16 +$1 10-27 01:24
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +313 $10 5¢ $15 +$5 10-29 15:29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $10 84¢ $15 +$5 07-25 21:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +47 $8 16¢ $8 $0 10-26 03:19
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +67 $6 10¢ $6 +$0 10-26 03:23
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +192 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 09-19 09:38
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -2 -$1 57¢ $-1 $0 10-25 19:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -3 -$1 43¢ $-1 $0 07-02 04:17