Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$125

Unrealized P&L

+$88

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

$1.11K

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 10-31 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

52% 60% -$252

Other

48% 86% +$376

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+1,029	$918	94¢	$973	+$55	10-27 09:54
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No		+144	$100	93¢	$134	+$34	07-02 07:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$918	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	10-27 09:54
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	4	$731	510	510	+0	open	—	10-31 15:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$687	389	389	+0	No	+$87	07-27 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$460	255	255	+0	No	+$22	09-13 08:53
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$400	548	0	+548	open	—	09-05 12:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$329	412	0	+412	No	-$329	10-22 14:38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$300	452	0	+452	open	—	09-05 12:59
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$277	157	157	+0	open	—	10-22 14:36
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$232	253	66	+188	Yes	+$48	10-22 14:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$211	118	118	+0	open	—	10-21 22:06
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$209	112	112	+0	open	—	10-15 23:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	2	$203	112	112	+0	open	—	10-21 22:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	+$50	07-27 11:30
total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	1	$200	218	0	+218	No	+$18	07-22 21:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$200	227	0	+227	Yes	+$27	09-16 07:14
will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	1	$200	217	0	+217	No	+$17	07-22 21:24
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	+$41	08-02 16:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	10-21 21:55
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$150	282	0	+282	Yes	+$132	10-22 14:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	1	$140	175	0	+175	No	+$35	07-08 09:32
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$133	72	72	+0	Yes	+$7	10-21 21:57
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	1	$100	144	0	+144	open	—	07-02 07:57
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	133	0	+133	Yes	+$33	10-21 22:17
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$100	364	0	+364	open	—	07-22 21:41
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	09-02 22:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$100	114	0	+114	No	+$14	07-02 07:55
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$100	124	0	+124	Yes	+$24	07-30 07:33
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	117	0	+117	Yes	+$18	09-27 23:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$97	60	60	+0	open	—	09-13 08:56
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$69	104	104	+0	No	+$13	10-09 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:30:27	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	74¢	$376	0x4ebe0e…
10-27 09:55:26	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	70¢	$220	0xa8faac…
10-27 09:54:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xb72318…
10-22 14:40:48	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	88¢	$49	0xf530fa…
10-22 14:38:26	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xe320c4…
10-22 14:38:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x24f3d4…
10-22 14:36:50	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	157	89¢	$139	0x44b45e…
10-21 22:19:03	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xdbe864…
10-21 22:17:50	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xfd5779…
10-21 22:13:00	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xd86fe3…
10-21 22:11:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	225	80¢	$180	0xd3dd18…
10-21 22:06:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x7a97f8…
10-21 22:05:39	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	112	92¢	$103	0xe6cbc8…
10-21 21:57:54	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	72	96¢	$70	0x0aa4d9…
10-21 21:55:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc16aa7…
10-15 23:38:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	136	80¢	$109	0x4cbf92…
10-15 23:33:03	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0x08852e…
10-12 22:15:50	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x6d02e4…
10-09 21:31:34	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xf6ab19…
10-09 07:29:06	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0x80387d…
10-09 07:27:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	104	39¢	$41	0x7daf47…
09-27 23:45:51	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x3b3c7d…
09-27 23:45:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	66	58¢	$38	0x974747…
09-26 16:21:59	Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xa57b79…
09-26 16:15:45	Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	16¢	$16	0xf54cb5…
09-21 11:57:12	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xde0619…
09-16 07:14:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xcf2c61…
09-16 07:12:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	38¢	$38	0xf35ec4…
09-13 08:56:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x08e052…
09-13 08:53:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	255	95¢	$241	0xcee95c…
09-05 13:00:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	131	88¢	$115	0x267a76…
09-05 12:59:37	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xf9cc7d…
09-05 12:59:25	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x79d5a4…
09-02 22:31:55	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0xc2b645…
09-02 22:30:12	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x780a94…
09-02 22:23:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x1a3996…
09-02 22:21:21	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc8a4b5…
08-02 16:04:42	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	134	88¢	$118	0x7fc12c…
08-02 16:03:05	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x8bc7d1…
07-30 21:01:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0xf22f72…
07-30 07:33:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xdb638a…
07-29 22:43:08	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa8299e…
07-27 11:34:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	255	86¢	$219	0xc6f99c…
07-27 11:30:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x5d2bc3…
07-27 11:28:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	389	100¢	$387	0x1ec369…
07-27 11:24:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x0eb6f3…
07-22 21:57:58	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x7f01b0…
07-22 21:56:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x3d5a31…
07-22 21:41:34	Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	364	27¢	$100	0x3eb414…
07-22 21:41:10	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x87f6bb…
07-22 21:40:09	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	401	75¢	$300	0x8530d8…
07-22 21:39:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	104	27¢	$28	0xbc6e29…
07-22 21:38:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x7391e5…
07-22 21:24:30	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x3fd61e…
07-22 21:13:33	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xaa41fb…
07-22 21:13:21	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xc35f30…
07-22 19:59:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x6c879f…
07-08 09:40:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	123	84¢	$103	0x77814d…
07-08 09:32:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	175	80¢	$140	0xa8a10f…
07-05 23:02:17	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x0bc4ff…
07-05 23:00:55	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x8e07d2…
07-05 22:56:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x225738…
07-05 22:54:41	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa7da24…
07-05 22:52:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xda3ca3…
07-05 22:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x0ee28c…
07-05 22:31:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x70bd9b…
07-02 07:58:31	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xd90e8b…
07-02 07:57:34	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x2716bd…
07-02 07:56:35	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x7a88cb…
07-02 07:56:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x53d514…
07-02 07:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf90a39…