Demanding-Stealth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$317

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

13,699

Trades

29,317

lifetime

Volume

$768.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$5.85K

15 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-27 01:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

80% 48% +$37,618

Sports

20% 47% +$10,119

Politics

0% 60% +$214

Crypto

0% 34% -$784

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+3,722	$1,485	36¢	$1.3K	-$164	10-20 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+1,766	$1,193	68¢	$1.2K	-$2	10-16 11:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+1,358	$827	64¢	$876	+$49	10-16 11:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+2,508	$967	32¢	$815	-$152	09-28 11:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+389	$317	94¢	$367	+$51	07-13 16:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+384	$251	94¢	$361	+$110	07-19 16:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,377	$572	22¢	$310	-$263	09-11 23:50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+383	$181	62¢	$236	+$54	09-02 01:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+213	$188	100¢	$213	+$25	07-12 12:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+195	$95	26¢	$50	-$45	09-11 23:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+44	$39	99¢	$44	+$5	08-08 01:02
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+360	$30	12¢	$42	+$11	10-25 23:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+562	$9	3¢	$15	+$6	08-08 19:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+28	$10	29¢	$8	-$2	09-12 15:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$0	72¢	$0	+$0	09-28 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	39	$9.7K	10,039	10,039	+0	New York Yankees	-$100	09-25 21:20
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	77	$3.3K	4,253	2,263	+1,990	Under	+$854	04-30 18:56
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	26	$3.2K	5,709	0	+5,709	Argentina	-$2,320	07-07 17:55
mlb chc nym 2026 06 22 total 11pt5	63	$3.2K	5,881	0	+5,881	Over	-$3,204	06-24 01:53
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 first half total 1pt5	29	$2.9K	4,029	0	+4,029	Over	+$1,119	06-24 22:25
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils	71	$2.8K	3,624	0	+3,624	cancelled	-$1,004	05-22 10:31
mlb cws cle 2026 07 05	30	$2.7K	5,005	68	+4,937	Chicago White Sox	-$2,638	07-05 20:09
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	30	$2.3K	1,922	1,708	+214	Yes	-$17	06-07 19:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	25	$2.3K	5,080	0	+5,080	open	—	10-20 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	37	$2.2K	4,274	0	+4,274	open	—	10-16 11:36
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	34	$2.1K	8,910	488	+8,422	Baltimore Orioles	-$1,745	09-25 21:03
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	51	$2.0K	4,255	1,505	+2,750	Under	+$641	04-30 18:57
mlb min nyy 2026 07 03	20	$2.0K	2,471	704	+1,767	New York Yankees	+$663	07-03 23:32
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	18	$1.9K	2,512	0	+2,512	Yes	+$571	08-30 17:55
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	14	$1.9K	2,291	0	+2,291	Over	+$372	07-07 17:30
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals charles de ketelaere gte2	14	$1.8K	2,326	0	+2,326	No	+$509	07-10 20:10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jan Choinski vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	62	$1.7K	2,815	496	+2,319	cancelled	-$28	05-20 14:42
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	12	$1.7K	2,270	0	+2,270	Yes	+$601	07-02 01:28
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	15	$1.6K	2,532	26	+2,506	Under	-$1,629	07-03 23:29
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	66	$1.6K	4,068	207	+3,861	Scotland	-$1,284	06-24 23:53
wnba phx dal 2026 09 19 spread home 10pt5	12	$1.5K	2,495	0	+2,495	Phoenix Mercury	+$948	09-19 18:57
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	26	$1.5K	2,491	0	+2,491	Yes	-$1,544	07-03 23:30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	12	$1.5K	2,498	0	+2,498	No	-$1,474	07-03 23:29
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-08?	28	$1.5K	2,505	0	+2,505	Yes	-$1,457	08-10 03:09
Spread: Gambia (-2.5)	52	$1.4K	2,506	0	+2,506	cancelled	-$173	10-02 10:39
mex nec mon1 2026 07 26 total 2pt5	23	$1.4K	2,071	10	+2,061	Over	+$646	07-27 00:38
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	22	$1.4K	5,015	0	+5,015	Norway	+$3,365	07-05 20:10
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	30	$1.4K	2,504	2,503	+1	No	-$184	06-26 19:22
chi xin zhe 2026 08 22 total 1pt5	14	$1.4K	2,502	0	+2,502	Over	+$1,151	08-22 13:34
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	13	$1.3K	1,629	1,610	+19	Colombia	-$48	06-07 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:37:09	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x94838a…
10-27 01:35:08	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x6b9a90…
10-27 01:33:26	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xd49a63…
10-27 01:32:38	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7a4c6e…
10-25 23:10:47	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xdc343b…
10-25 23:09:57	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x599b8d…
10-25 22:46:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xfdeac5…
10-25 22:46:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	221	61¢	$135	0x98d15c…
10-25 22:38:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0x322509…
10-25 22:38:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	217	58¢	$126	0x1fef8e…
10-25 22:13:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x095b3f…
10-25 22:12:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x54baf6…
10-25 17:33:56	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	187	63¢	$118	0x2709ec…
10-23 20:45:32	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	339	26¢	$88	0x902dcb…
10-23 20:45:32	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	337	26¢	$88	0x533e40…
10-23 20:45:30	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	669	13¢	$88	0x78b219…
10-23 20:45:30	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	577	15¢	$88	0x4fcc53…
10-23 20:45:30	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	380	22¢	$82	0x3c6759…
10-23 20:45:29	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	305	13¢	$40	0x26a60d…
10-20 11:28:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	242	38¢	$92	0xd7a7cf…
10-20 11:28:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	236	38¢	$90	0x6f9cf8…
10-20 11:28:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	246	38¢	$93	0x09bbfd…
10-20 11:28:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0xe2a522…
10-20 11:28:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	242	38¢	$92	0x76a671…
10-20 11:28:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x0641ae…
10-20 11:28:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x93c384…
10-20 11:28:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x3fdca3…
10-20 11:28:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x01041f…
10-20 11:28:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	237	37¢	$88	0xb12128…
10-20 11:28:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	240	37¢	$89	0x0b5407…
10-20 10:28:41	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	217	66¢	$143	0x9b6129…
10-19 21:08:48	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x692bca…
10-19 21:08:10	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x7ba635…
10-19 21:08:10	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x76f9a9…
10-19 21:07:51	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x7dfb62…
10-19 08:00:53	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x4a7039…
10-19 05:46:15	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xee16e3…
10-18 12:29:12	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x7dd539…
10-18 12:29:08	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	59	70¢	$42	0x42ac0b…
10-18 05:06:56	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x3ecbcf…
10-17 14:13:57	Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x836fc0…
10-16 11:36:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	259	62¢	$161	0x7b514b…
10-16 11:36:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	240	67¢	$161	0x691f19…
10-16 11:36:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	123	67¢	$82	0x5d4951…
10-16 11:36:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	61¢	$161	0x2196be…
10-16 11:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	243	66¢	$161	0x84a64f…
10-16 11:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	108	67¢	$73	0x36d8e9…
10-16 11:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	243	66¢	$161	0x3606f5…
10-16 11:36:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	61¢	$161	0x215056…
10-16 11:36:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x182eb2…
10-16 11:36:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	61¢	$161	0x12b3d6…
10-16 11:36:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	268	60¢	$161	0xfe4c6e…
10-16 11:36:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	243	66¢	$161	0xdd80f3…
10-16 11:36:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	243	66¢	$161	0x41b964…
10-16 04:18:34	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	203	79¢	$160	0x0830f4…
10-15 14:06:44	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	219	59¢	$128	0xe9f8cc…
10-14 21:51:25	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf83454…
10-14 15:00:09	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x72b3b5…
10-14 14:35:00	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	74	38¢	$28	0x350ccf…
10-14 13:50:54	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbd4e86…
10-14 12:47:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x26ff90…
10-14 12:47:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x9bc95d…
10-14 12:39:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc2a944…
10-14 12:35:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x8a2911…
10-14 10:25:31	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x947514…
10-13 17:50:06	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	317	14¢	$46	0xc1b0a1…
10-13 17:50:04	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0xa8f48e…
10-13 01:02:12	Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x587022…
10-12 03:51:20	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xc47571…
10-12 03:51:20	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0x15b8d6…
10-11 18:51:22	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	109	76¢	$83	0x1ca3f5…
10-11 18:33:09	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x86bb4f…
10-11 16:42:13	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x28ef12…
10-11 16:42:12	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x8c5548…
10-11 16:27:22	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xebbddd…
10-11 16:27:22	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd0d29a…
10-11 16:22:00	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8dc6b1…
10-11 14:22:27	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0x0d2a1a…
10-11 14:21:10	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	58	79¢	$46	0x628091…
10-11 14:20:06	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x75c463…
10-11 02:55:05	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	32¢	$12	0xe6a4a7…
10-11 02:55:05	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x254b67…
10-10 11:56:25	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0x3d6681…
10-10 11:15:00	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x76376e…
10-10 11:14:24	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	206	46¢	$95	0xe95685…
10-10 11:14:22	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbce314…
10-09 17:58:13	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x971aac…
10-09 17:57:35	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	214	15¢	$32	0x874062…
10-08 18:42:59	CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x791857…
10-08 18:42:26	CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xf87a4c…
10-08 01:09:28	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x2b0e58…
10-08 01:08:34	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9ae409…
10-08 01:08:32	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x7d1dc2…
10-08 01:08:26	Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	43	76¢	$32	0x6ba3cc…
10-08 00:52:22	Avalanche vs. Jets	Avalanche	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc685f5…
10-08 00:52:22	Avalanche vs. Jets	Avalanche	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6478af…
10-08 00:49:47	Penguins vs. Capitals	Penguins	SELL	163	10¢	$16	0x48d333…
10-08 00:48:56	Penguins vs. Capitals	Penguins	BUY	245	23¢	$56	0xf4eba3…
10-08 00:48:56	Penguins vs. Capitals	Penguins	BUY	299	19¢	$56	0x4eddc8…
10-08 00:47:58	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x1ab97d…