Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f7b…6324de Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$48
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
26
503 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.54K
$27.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.28K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-28 05:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
57% 39% -$1,594
Other
43% 86% +$1,916
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14,800 $1,503 14¢ $2.0K +$495 10-26 14:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 -$1,058 98¢ $-1082 -$24 08-31 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -700 -$651 97¢ $-681 -$30 09-01 18:53
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,167 $606 25¢ $542 -$64 10-12 19:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,167 $200 12¢ $485 +$285 06-04 19:01
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,473 $819 16¢ $408 -$411 08-25 05:45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -400 -$372 98¢ $-394 -$22 08-25 01:50
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +579 $465 68¢ $391 -$75 09-22 18:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -300 -$291 99¢ $-297 -$6 08-25 01:50
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15,702 $402 2¢ $275 -$127 10-22 19:35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +235 $134 84¢ $196 +$62 09-01 18:42
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,048 $226 16¢ $162 -$64 07-22 19:05
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +199 $122 66¢ $130 +$8 08-01 12:58
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +413 $284 29¢ $120 -$164 06-07 20:37
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +66 $61 95¢ $62 +$1 08-25 01:46
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +39 $24 84¢ $33 +$9 05-13 10:24
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +126 $35 20¢ $25 -$11 08-25 06:18