Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f7b…6324de Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$479
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
5
503 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$124
$27.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$6.26K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-28 05:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
57% 23% -$2,132
Other
43% 86% +$1,916
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14,800 $1,503 12¢ $1.7K +$199 10-26 14:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 -$1,058 98¢ $-1077 -$19 08-31 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -700 -$651 96¢ $-668 -$18 09-01 18:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,167 $200 12¢ $506 +$306 06-04 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $325 80¢ $402 +$78 08-30 22:32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -400 -$372 98¢ $-390 -$18 08-25 01:50
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15,702 $402 2¢ $322 -$80 10-22 19:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +320 $284 94¢ $302 +$18 09-01 18:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $204 74¢ $298 +$94 08-31 13:53
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -300 -$291 98¢ $-295 -$4 08-25 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes -478 -$49 31¢ $-149 -$100 08-17 16:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $124 74¢ $147 +$23 10-28 05:02