Realized P&L
-$7.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.35K
Hit rate
27.6%
Resolved
36
Trades
452
lifetime
Volume
$34.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$5.31K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
87% 29% -$6,622
Other
11% 12% -$1,423
Sports
2% 50% +$245
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,113 $5,010 56¢ $4.0K -$1,055 10-06 16:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,288 $665 30¢ $675 +$10 10-26 23:20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +290 $229 77¢ $222 -$7 09-02 16:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +737 $231 30¢ $217 -$14 10-25 07:05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +298 $99 34¢ $100 +$0 10-05 05:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +100 $79 84¢ $84 +$4 10-21 08:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,204 $350 4¢ $46 -$304 09-17 22:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $7 8¢ $8 +$1 09-22 08:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -97 -$19 6¢ $-6 +$13 04-30 11:04