High-Level-Precedence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.16K

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$4.42K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-04 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

86% 33% -$4,143

Other

12% 12% -$1,423

Sports

2% 50% +$245

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+7,113	$5,010	59¢	$4.2K	-$845	10-06 16:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+290	$229	72¢	$209	-$20	09-02 16:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,204	$350	3¢	$39	-$311	09-17 22:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-97	-$19	4¢	$-4	+$16	04-30 11:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	91	$6.8K	15,094	1,220	+13,874	No	-$5,501	01-13 23:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	7	$5.0K	7,113	0	+7,113	open	—	10-06 16:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	44	$4.9K	6,327	4,039	+2,288	No	+$2,055	10-26 23:20
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	13	$2.1K	3,972	1,699	+2,273	No	-$1,154	09-01 16:31
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	12	$1.7K	3,904	2,074	+1,830	No	-$171	01-15 22:57
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	25	$1.5K	1,902	1,902	+0	Yes	+$149	01-22 11:14
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	29	$1.5K	13,282	123	+13,159	Yes	-$1,457	08-10 11:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$1.5K	2,902	785	+2,117	No	+$1,288	10-16 21:14
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$1.1K	680	1,393	-713	No	+$392	06-22 15:43
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$1.0K	1,503	666	+837	Yes	+$578	10-27 22:50
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$1000	0	1,013	-1,013	Yes	-$13	06-19 08:58
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$656	3,028	475	+2,553	No	-$471	05-28 08:08
will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	6	$649	657	0	+657	Yes	+$7	04-26 19:49
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	31	$532	10,980	0	+10,980	No	-$532	01-13 23:40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$474	767	50	+717	Yes	+$302	07-17 21:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	11	$406	1,319	115	+1,204	open	—	09-17 22:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$370	671	671	+0	No	+$156	01-10 22:19
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	13	$302	2,597	138	+2,459	Yes	-$104	10-01 21:46
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	7	$269	1,938	127	+1,812	open	—	09-11 12:58
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	7	$267	1,822	0	+1,822	open	—	09-11 12:56
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$264	0	21,976	-21,976	No	+$264	05-28 08:22
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	7	$248	903	125	+778	No	-$153	09-22 07:23
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$244	2,165	125	+2,040	open	—	09-11 12:59
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$229	290	0	+290	open	—	09-02 16:59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$194	210	124	+86	No	-$41	07-13 08:45
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	5	$191	300	37	+263	open	—	11-04 09:02
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	4	$172	428	0	+428	open	—	10-30 20:41
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	5	$167	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$167	07-14 20:38
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$2	11-02 15:57
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	7	$159	421	81	+340	Yes	-$109	09-29 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:02:42	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0x596263…
11-02 20:02:43	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6ee391…
11-02 16:53:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0x0af2f8…
11-02 16:47:48	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	77	27¢	$21	0x7b9582…
11-02 15:57:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x5b822b…
11-01 14:25:04	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe43362…
11-01 14:21:19	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x2b296a…
10-30 20:41:16	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x51469d…
10-30 15:23:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x351483…
10-30 09:08:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xe93460…
10-29 08:45:46	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	138	3¢	$5	0x8df9f5…
10-29 08:43:29	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	165	33¢	$55	0x341d72…
10-27 22:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x98f78d…
10-26 23:20:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0xdc17d8…
10-26 08:31:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x309f4c…
10-25 07:05:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	237	28¢	$66	0x098777…
10-21 20:28:21	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	88	46¢	$40	0x5090b7…
10-21 20:23:39	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0x8e9383…
10-21 08:25:36	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xa6053d…
10-19 21:25:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	525	28¢	$147	0x92f73a…
10-19 16:06:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	313	27¢	$85	0x52cfac…
10-19 15:38:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0xf0e384…
10-19 08:00:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	550	33¢	$182	0xc763d2…
10-16 21:17:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0x14cc91…
10-16 21:14:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xc29c41…
10-15 18:19:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	169	61¢	$103	0x4bffe3…
10-15 18:18:13	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x8a2a0b…
10-15 18:18:10	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xefd530…
10-15 13:49:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	56	61¢	$34	0x99c8cf…
10-15 10:24:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	925	65¢	$601	0x3a30e5…
10-15 09:06:44	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	212	59¢	$125	0xdcb18a…
10-15 07:44:46	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x170285…
10-15 07:44:37	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xce3c71…
10-15 07:44:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0xbfb35b…
10-15 07:44:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	211	59¢	$125	0x44a191…
10-13 22:21:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,725	58¢	$1,000	0x1655ec…
10-13 15:23:28	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	120	54¢	$65	0x9405bc…
10-13 09:02:34	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	550	54¢	$299	0xdac2cc…
10-09 05:47:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	275	48¢	$132	0x2d952b…
10-06 16:38:38	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	591	57¢	$337	0x1b45a9…
10-06 05:12:43	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	391	54¢	$211	0xbfb805…
10-05 14:25:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x3fbbd5…
10-05 05:35:58	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	365	45¢	$164	0xa29e62…
10-05 05:29:44	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	263	33¢	$87	0x39031c…
10-05 05:19:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xb23f24…
10-03 20:45:28	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	137	47¢	$64	0x5f4f50…
10-03 20:43:13	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	241	47¢	$113	0x3e4bc1…
10-02 16:15:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x4d86fe…
10-02 16:10:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0x47b123…
10-02 15:58:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	600	45¢	$268	0x8a990a…
10-02 15:44:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x238d8a…
10-02 15:39:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	635	43¢	$272	0x484445…
10-02 15:31:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	267	41¢	$108	0xfd3f91…
10-02 09:37:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf98b0c…
10-02 09:36:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xafcd74…
10-02 09:36:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x34ce36…
10-02 09:36:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xf3cb32…
10-02 09:36:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x38bd16…
10-02 09:35:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd8ab5f…
10-02 09:26:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b0498…
10-02 09:26:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x1067b2…
10-02 09:25:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8c6f4…
10-02 09:25:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc95e14…
10-02 09:25:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf25f75…
10-02 09:24:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe9fca0…
10-02 09:24:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a8c83…
10-02 09:24:44	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x98a902…
10-02 09:24:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x471c55…
10-02 09:24:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5478a2…
10-02 09:24:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x33e5d8…
10-02 09:24:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	144	50¢	$72	0x6e64fd…
10-02 09:23:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0xdcf481…
10-02 07:42:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	384	54¢	$207	0xc84a99…
10-02 07:31:48	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xbf7223…
10-02 07:30:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xade063…
10-01 21:46:56	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	875	1¢	$11	0x383d6d…
10-01 21:34:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	995	51¢	$507	0x234c1e…
10-01 21:18:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	171	50¢	$85	0x380d47…
10-01 07:10:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,150	37¢	$422	0xaeec47…
09-29 15:30:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	588	40¢	$236	0x34709e…
09-29 07:49:35	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7a417f…
09-28 15:51:05	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x964f33…
09-28 15:45:44	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	145	22¢	$32	0x581a46…
09-27 22:52:30	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	613	4¢	$23	0xbb4c0c…
09-27 22:46:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	438	42¢	$185	0x7cf874…
09-26 12:55:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	613	44¢	$269	0x5876df…
09-26 12:43:45	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	260	1¢	$3	0xe2c56d…
09-25 13:12:50	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	SELL	81	31¢	$25	0x257d40…
09-25 13:02:35	Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	82	29¢	$24	0x042adc…
09-24 08:35:05	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	125	5¢	$6	0xd44538…
09-23 07:50:01	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0xb7574d…
09-22 08:06:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xca2515…
09-22 07:57:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x1577ca…
09-22 07:49:34	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0x344351…
09-22 07:42:19	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0xcb32e0…
09-22 07:36:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0x32711a…
09-22 07:24:45	Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x7c5ed7…
09-22 07:23:15	Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	155	10¢	$16	0x14e30b…
09-19 11:47:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x03f215…
09-18 08:25:25	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	148	23¢	$34	0xf9fff6…