Realized P&L
-$217
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,383
lifetime
Volume
$100.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$513
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-30 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
78% 67% $-207
Other
20% 50% $-10
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +137 $128 99¢ $136 +$8 06-22 07:13
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No +64 $62 99¢ $64 +$2 06-22 19:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +62 $60 100¢ $62 +$2 06-22 20:05
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +46 $45 97¢ $45 $-0 06-25 21:13
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +49 $40 84¢ $41 +$1 06-23 13:12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +41 $40 100¢ $41 +$1 06-22 16:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +41 $40 100¢ $41 +$1 06-22 16:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -27 $-21 100¢ $-27 $-6 06-08 07:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 $-0 06-03 19:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -16 $-15 95¢ $-15 $-0 06-03 19:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$0 06-04 21:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4 $8 100¢ $4 $-4 06-11 12:27
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +28 $5 16¢ $4 $-0 06-28 23:32
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes -21 $-15 $-0 +$15 06-03 20:31