Watery-Database — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,931

lifetime

Volume

$32.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-23 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

13% 78% $-24

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	58	$540	600	440	+160	open	—	06-14 18:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	46	$363	388	330	+58	open	—	06-13 19:11
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	2	$299	160	160	+0	open	—	03-25 09:13
highest temperature in nyc on march 26 2026 66forhigher	2	$295	159	158	+1	open	—	03-26 05:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	24	$294	332	288	+44	open	—	06-12 15:06
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	2	$289	158	158	+0	open	—	03-25 06:50
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	2	$288	159	158	+1	open	—	03-24 05:12
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 28corhigher	2	$281	157	157	+0	open	—	03-25 03:26
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 13c	2	$235	159	159	+0	open	—	03-25 04:30
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	28	$231	276	236	+40	open	—	07-18 12:15
highest temperature in houston on march 26 2026 82 83f	2	$227	160	159	+1	open	—	03-26 22:14
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	23	$217	224	183	+41	open	—	06-12 16:13
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 21c	2	$194	161	160	+1	open	—	03-27 01:32
highest temperature in dallas on march 26 2026 84 85f	2	$184	164	164	+0	open	—	03-26 22:09
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	2	$165	159	158	+1	open	—	03-27 07:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 22c	3	$160	360	0	+360	open	—	04-07 19:53
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 16c	3	$158	175	16	+159	open	—	03-24 05:53
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 15c	3	$157	172	15	+157	open	—	03-24 14:23
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 80 81f	18	$151	82	137	-55	open	—	03-30 03:10
will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	20	$151	143	162	-20	open	—	06-15 12:10
highest temperature in los angeles on march 26 2026 70 71f	1	$149	163	0	+163	open	—	03-26 19:05
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	1	$149	157	0	+157	open	—	03-26 14:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 66 67f	1	$149	166	0	+166	open	—	03-27 04:56
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	1	$149	164	0	+164	open	—	03-26 07:24
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 23c	1	$149	158	0	+158	open	—	03-27 02:50
highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 9c	1	$149	162	0	+162	open	—	03-26 14:48
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 26 2026 17c	1	$149	158	0	+158	open	—	03-26 12:55
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	1	$149	160	0	+160	open	—	03-26 05:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 19c	1	$149	159	0	+159	open	—	03-25 11:29
highest temperature in munich on march 26 2026 6c	1	$149	160	0	+160	open	—	03-26 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:46:39	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2c08f3…
07-23 08:46:36	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xbd67b4…
07-23 08:46:34	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7d592f…
07-23 08:46:22	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x921e53…
07-23 08:46:16	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x0c804f…
07-23 08:46:15	will russia capture havrylivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x304928…
07-23 08:46:06	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xbb488d…
07-23 08:46:04	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x83e255…
07-23 08:45:55	Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x4f9636…
07-23 04:26:04	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xcd08d7…
07-23 04:26:04	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x916c6b…
07-23 04:26:04	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x38cdb5…
07-23 04:26:03	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x6ac2fb…
07-23 04:26:01	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xdc8bdc…
07-23 04:26:00	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xca8427…
07-22 21:58:49	will mojtaba khamenei sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950074	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x1f6d93…
07-22 15:18:10	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf5deb9…
07-22 05:55:51	will syria recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0x2bf861…
07-22 03:24:25	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xcffdb3…
07-21 21:03:09	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x58d6ed…
07-21 18:14:19	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x5cfa8a…
07-21 14:42:00	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe114ca…
07-21 09:52:39	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x2a042d…
07-21 09:52:37	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x1cda2e…
07-21 09:52:34	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x24d3a3…
07-21 09:52:34	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x0fb824…
07-21 09:52:31	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x25b172…
07-20 10:00:34	will valantis launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x7d29d2…
07-20 09:25:21	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x9e965b…
07-20 09:25:19	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xf4744f…
07-20 09:25:18	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x257c88…
07-20 09:25:16	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x99e365…
07-20 09:25:16	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x0f02ae…
07-20 08:51:43	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x2945ce…
07-20 06:31:21	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xd72d97…
07-19 15:02:46	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x8c7130…
07-19 06:42:25	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x85406e…
07-19 06:36:54	Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xfa8794…
07-18 20:48:25	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb2875f…
07-18 20:39:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3767e2…
07-18 19:34:51	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x29babc…
07-18 19:29:58	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf0dfe4…
07-18 15:36:10	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xbd9d9d…
07-18 15:35:48	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x37c01a…
07-18 13:47:15	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8334b8…
07-18 12:33:42	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x8cc80a…
07-18 12:32:33	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x83ec67…
07-18 12:32:01	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	58	48¢	$28	0x57141e…
07-18 12:30:31	tabi fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xe866e7…
07-18 12:15:51	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xd98e4e…
07-18 12:15:49	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xdee4c2…
07-18 12:15:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x54bbf2…
07-18 12:15:42	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbb5590…
07-18 12:15:37	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x7d4849…
07-18 12:15:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x19f32f…
07-18 12:15:30	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x5407d9…
07-18 12:15:25	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa6cb21…
07-18 12:15:25	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x704c1e…
07-18 12:15:13	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa36203…
07-18 12:15:12	will russia capture havrylivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x834b2b…
07-18 12:15:10	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe7c0d8…
07-18 12:15:07	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x40ad98…
07-17 02:47:21	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc35f48…
07-16 16:08:16	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x2155c7…
07-16 13:23:38	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xefd690…
07-15 22:55:10	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe85c00…
07-15 22:54:16	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc47f14…
07-15 14:18:40	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x6b76d6…
07-15 13:19:37	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x825e2d…
07-14 09:20:04	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x71833d…
07-14 08:52:40	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x645304…
07-13 21:58:02	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x7a33d9…
07-13 21:39:31	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x6c136d…
07-13 20:45:53	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x1bd69e…
07-13 20:00:47	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xa96a9b…
07-13 19:43:53	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	No	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x08ccd8…
07-13 19:27:56	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdc72dc…
07-13 08:22:10	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x414cb4…
07-13 04:01:07	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x5608a5…
07-12 21:58:53	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x5fa651…
07-12 21:29:31	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xdd7388…
07-12 20:14:37	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x80051a…
07-12 17:52:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xe31925…
07-12 05:10:14	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x219a7b…
07-12 05:09:43	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x68560c…
07-12 04:00:07	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x812a35…
07-11 22:25:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x7138f7…
07-11 22:25:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xddac4f…
07-11 20:07:53	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x13c2e4…
07-10 21:10:46	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x636cea…
07-10 21:05:40	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x41c5d9…
07-10 21:03:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8c7b8c…
07-10 20:42:46	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x3ddb5c…
07-10 01:28:26	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf30ed5…
07-09 22:57:38	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe0ee7e…
07-09 22:13:28	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xed68ea…
07-09 20:46:44	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4d7c99…
07-09 17:26:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x1c6171…
07-09 14:36:20	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xbf370c…
07-09 11:55:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2ee3db…