Realized P&L
-$3.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
1,651
Trades
5,643
lifetime
Volume
$39.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$179
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-23 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
62% 29% -$3,020
Politics
24% 52% -$217
Crypto
11% 79% +$29
Sports
3% 33% -$22
Tech
1% 25% -$11
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +81 $54 79¢ $64 +$10 06-02 16:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +58 $34 88¢ $51 +$17 05-25 07:35
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 94¢ $19 +$8 06-01 03:52
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +20 $15 88¢ $18 +$2 06-17 18:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +81 $58 21¢ $17 -$40 07-18 12:14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +58 $50 12¢ $7 -$43 07-23 02:33
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +20 $5 12¢ $2 -$2 06-17 18:16
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 6¢ $1 -$13 06-01 04:08
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes — +0 $0 45¢ $0 +$0 05-31 07:22