Wide-Bikini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$540

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

155

Trades

1,118

lifetime

Volume

$93.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$689

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-20 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

68% 64% +$632

Crypto

15% 60% +$121

Politics

15% 67% +$6

Sports

2% 44% -$219

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-500	-$509	98¢	$-488	+$20	07-13 18:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+108	$92	88¢	$96	+$4	07-31 20:37
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+90	$73	94¢	$85	+$12	10-20 15:57
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+145	$28	10¢	$15	-$13	09-11 10:17
will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	+18	$8	30¢	$5	-$3	07-09 06:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	128	$31.2K	19,205	18,789	+416	Yes	+$47	01-17 11:25
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	111	$9.4K	4,756	4,756	+0	Yes	+$4	06-18 18:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	20	$5.2K	3,200	3,700	-500	open	—	07-13 18:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	104	$3.9K	2,020	2,020	+0	Yes	+$2	02-07 07:42
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2.2K	1,096	1,096	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 14:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	33	$2.1K	3,548	3,548	+0	No	+$8	01-17 13:05
crwpl20 rcbw dcw 2026 02 05	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women	+$2	02-05 17:46
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	03-24 16:08
crint irl omn 2026 02 14	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Ireland	+$16	02-14 07:40
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	4	$1.9K	1,072	1,000	+72	Yes	+$52	01-10 15:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	15	$1.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	$0	02-09 12:44
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	5	$1.4K	1,072	1,072	+0	England	-$548	02-27 16:48
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	11	$1.1K	652	652	+0	No	+$162	04-30 09:54
Will 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian end in a draw?	2	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	No	+$7	08-08 04:23
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	15	$1.0K	1,043	543	+500	No	+$447	04-30 14:12
crint ind nam 2026 02 12	5	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	India	-$7	02-12 15:55
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	5	$999	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 11:30
crint ind nzl 2026 01 21	9	$986	500	500	+0	India	+$4	01-21 16:38
credible fdv above 60m one day after launch 20260708144505955	2	$893	453	453	+0	No	+$13	07-18 09:53
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$823	575	570	+5	No	-$36	03-29 07:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 19:32
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	15	$787	436	436	+0	Yes	+$13	05-26 06:38
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	7	$775	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 12:00
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	15	$751	536	536	+0	open	—	09-12 15:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$729	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$6	06-01 13:27
crint sco wst 2026 02 07	9	$679	699	0	+699	West Indies	+$19	02-07 13:04
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$646	549	531	+18	No	+$37	03-28 12:45
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$642	599	594	+5	No	+$141	03-29 10:54
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	7	$556	407	407	+0	Up	-$15	02-11 08:06
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	3	$542	300	300	+0	No	+$26	01-10 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:57:17	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x48ef1a…
10-20 15:47:17	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x5c3bcb…
09-12 15:03:19	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x20cf96…
09-12 00:29:55	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	205	45¢	$92	0xdc34b6…
09-11 10:17:49	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa2fbe3…
09-09 07:52:07	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x9d6d0a…
09-09 06:05:36	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x245e3f…
09-09 05:46:31	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	220	50¢	$110	0x5d4483…
09-02 06:00:58	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x5f963c…
09-02 06:00:16	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	106	14¢	$15	0x5d309b…
09-01 17:43:19	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6ea3ff…
08-20 07:44:58	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xf0e5d7…
08-20 07:29:28	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	232	92¢	$213	0x9b763b…
08-20 07:29:13	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x230083…
08-12 11:07:55	bitcoin above 62k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x34f30b…
08-12 04:12:48	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x550b62…
08-12 04:12:36	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x922595…
08-12 04:12:24	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	9¢	$6	0xea459e…
08-12 04:12:01	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xd5d276…
08-12 04:11:39	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0xfe3234…
08-11 13:45:01	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xf24c21…
08-09 22:33:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe8fc52…
08-09 16:23:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2b016f…
08-09 16:23:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x704141…
08-09 04:33:43	Will CD Cieza win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x31a021…
08-08 05:50:31	bitcoin above 64k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0x22f789…
08-08 05:04:13	Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xced697…
08-08 04:23:12	Will 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian end in a draw?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x9968b6…
08-08 04:23:01	Will 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian end in a draw?	No	BUY	829	99¢	$823	0x27d0f2…
08-04 20:00:27	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xbb7268…
07-31 20:37:02	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	85¢	$70	0x319582…
07-31 20:37:02	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$22	0x1c941c…
07-31 13:15:20	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x998533…
07-31 13:08:02	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7db089…
07-30 04:41:50	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x646f3c…
07-30 04:41:35	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1ece73…
07-28 17:18:14	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0x50bba8…
07-28 15:04:04	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xdcbd18…
07-28 12:50:56	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x56671c…
07-25 12:45:24	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	451	0¢	$1	0xb31126…
07-25 12:26:01	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x88dadf…
07-25 09:33:22	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	No	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xcec6df…
07-24 09:18:46	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa899a5…
07-22 13:08:34	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x551325…
07-22 07:53:09	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0x4d9d93…
07-21 17:39:55	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	No	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0x004667…
07-18 09:53:36	credible fdv above 60m one day after launch 20260708144505955	No	SELL	453	100¢	$453	0x55cd23…
07-18 09:49:31	credible fdv above 30m one day after launch 20260708144505952	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe4aa90…
07-17 14:26:40	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	96	4¢	$4	0xe47ac4…
07-17 12:32:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xbcabe2…
07-17 12:27:31	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf93fcd…
07-17 01:43:06	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb9ecd7…
07-16 20:16:46	over 85m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x64264e…
07-14 04:09:59	over 85m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x5ea28d…
07-13 18:33:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	79¢	$790	0x873d5f…
07-13 05:30:43	credible fdv above 60m one day after launch 20260708144505955	No	BUY	453	97¢	$440	0xca2101…
07-13 04:50:49	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0x7f791c…
07-11 15:46:41	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8ed95b…
07-10 22:17:05	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0xb09e5e…
07-10 12:23:19	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xb0ff6e…
07-10 07:17:04	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4efabf…
07-09 11:58:22	crictelangana kar ran 2026 07 09	Karimnagar Diamonds	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xcc5321…
07-09 07:21:40	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x1b41ba…
07-09 07:20:58	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xa47b82…
07-09 07:20:53	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658	No	BUY	40	87¢	$34	0xfaa179…
07-09 06:22:17	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0xa9d420…
07-09 06:21:35	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x4531f1…
07-08 16:04:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x0f8709…
07-08 14:33:14	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x245eaf…
07-08 14:25:38	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	No	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x5e0198…
07-08 14:19:34	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4f12b1…
07-08 04:52:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,196	78¢	$933	0xe8050c…
07-07 04:35:22	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xdc3c10…
07-04 16:46:58	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x72c4c0…
07-04 15:47:16	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x00aa53…
07-04 15:46:07	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	270	3¢	$9	0x966113…
07-04 15:23:23	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x22a21c…
07-04 15:12:11	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x66f76c…
07-04 15:10:56	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb29b25…
07-04 13:27:19	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x490bc1…
07-03 19:22:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0xc18c05…
07-02 04:37:32	xagusd up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xe246bf…
07-01 06:51:47	xagusd up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7175a1…
07-01 06:29:47	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x7b9da1…
07-01 06:29:35	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc3f2b0…
07-01 06:29:23	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x00b789…
07-01 05:45:46	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xa07199…
07-01 05:45:34	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x63210f…
06-30 11:06:53	Will Zimbabwe win?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x5c8f24…
06-29 13:00:44	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x3decec…
06-29 12:56:05	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xb8259e…
06-25 04:52:10	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x9d139b…
06-18 18:38:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4bd739…
06-18 16:12:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	417	99¢	$412	0x9061f2…
06-18 15:01:20	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf66230…
06-18 14:04:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb761f…
06-18 13:46:56	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x1278d7…
06-18 13:00:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	450	99¢	$444	0x2b3976…
06-18 11:55:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	379	99¢	$374	0xf36f9f…
06-18 11:34:46	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x4cea21…