(anonymous) 0x6fdb1f…606b9d
bot new 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$195
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved
91
Trades
1,534
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$764
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-28 15:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
68% 9% -$138
Politics
22% 26% -$26
Tech
7% 0% -$20
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 435 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +100 $60 93¢ $93 +$33 10-24 13:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +100 $77 81¢ $81 +$4 10-24 09:24
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $69 75¢ $75 +$6 10-24 14:14
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +60 $25 100¢ $60 +$35 10-24 22:52
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +63 $62 82¢ $51 -$10 10-24 20:27
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +50 $15 95¢ $47 +$32 10-24 15:49
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +50 $36 92¢ $46 +$10 10-24 13:09
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$3 10-22 22:25
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +40 $27 84¢ $34 +$7 10-24 20:27
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +50 $32 62¢ $31 -$1 10-24 09:04
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +50 $29 57¢ $29 $0 10-28 02:02
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $32 25¢ $25 -$7 10-24 14:14
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +50 $24 42¢ $21 -$3 10-23 21:52
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +100 $23 19¢ $19 -$4 10-24 08:22
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $20 38¢ $19 -$1 10-24 07:55
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +35 $22 52¢ $18 -$4 10-23 18:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +35 $15 48¢ $17 +$2 10-23 18:17
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +63 $13 18¢ $12 -$1 10-24 19:23
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +11 $9 80¢ $9 -$1 10-24 22:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +100 $41 7¢ $7 -$34 10-24 14:13
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? Yes +50 $11 14¢ $7 -$3 10-25 01:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +40 $13 16¢ $6 -$7 10-24 19:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +20 $7 28¢ $6 -$1 10-28 11:15
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +50 $14 8¢ $4 -$10 10-24 14:43
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +50 $35 5¢ $2 -$33 10-24 11:50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +11 $3 20¢ $2 -$1 10-24 20:57
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $36 1¢ $1 -$35 10-25 20:27
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +0 $4 95¢ $0 -$4 10-25 10:03