Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5
lifetime
Volume
$24
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$23
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 05-28 08:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
92%
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +72 $20 29¢ $20 +$0 05-28 07:30
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:30
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +34 $1 $1 $-0 05-28 08:11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 08:11