Realized P&L
-$7.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
1,243
Trades
2,039
lifetime
Volume
$63.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$617
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 10-27 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
61% 29% -$7,311
Sports
30% 33% +$950
Crypto
7% 12% -$1,394
Tech
2% 60% +$123
Politics
0% 67% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +172 $130 100¢ $171 +$41 10-12 08:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +102 $93 96¢ $98 +$5 06-29 09:42
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +98 $93 98¢ $96 +$3 07-17 08:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +38 $37 98¢ $38 +$0 09-17 03:33
Discord IPO before 2027? No +30 $23 94¢ $28 +$5 09-04 02:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +364 $19 4¢ $14 -$5 09-11 20:48
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +12 $9 90¢ $11 +$2 08-22 04:45
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +12 $9 90¢ $11 +$1 08-22 04:44
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 09-04 12:41
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +18 $9 55¢ $10 +$0 09-11 20:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$1 09-10 09:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $9 +$0 07-10 02:37
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 08-22 04:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +11 $9 83¢ $9 $0 09-16 03:28
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 $0 09-04 12:44
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +256 $9 3¢ $8 -$1 10-18 09:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +14 $9 57¢ $8 -$2 08-22 04:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +39 $9 18¢ $7 -$2 09-11 20:43
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +185 $9 3¢ $6 -$3 10-18 09:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +465 $9 1¢ $6 -$3 08-22 04:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +13 $5 44¢ $6 +$1 09-06 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 09-05 07:13
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +186 $9 3¢ $5 -$4 08-03 03:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-14 19:44
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 09-06 19:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-06 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 08-12 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $5 67¢ $4 $0 09-13 20:31
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +36 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 09-08 17:39
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,350 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 09-05 20:23