Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$458

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$98

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-23 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 7% -$376

Other

42% 0% -$2,387

Politics

14% 0% -$442

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,496	$44	3¢	$38	-$6	08-01 15:50
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,060	$40	3¢	$32	-$8	08-18 01:21
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,071	$26	1¢	$14	-$12	08-21 03:20
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+1,107	$445	1¢	$13	-$433	10-23 15:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$681	14,976	14,976	+0	No	-$291	01-31 20:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	17	$541	17,215	0	+17,215	No	-$541	04-12 19:06
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	8	$445	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	10-23 15:31
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	50	$407	43,259	0	+43,259	No	-$407	04-24 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	7	$381	1,400	399	+1,000	No	-$197	10-12 12:59
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	5	$339	1,646	130	+1,516	No	-$105	09-27 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	7	$229	2,011	0	+2,011	No	-$229	09-07 12:27
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	5	$217	3,141	0	+3,141	No	-$217	09-15 10:28
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	7	$201	1,032	1,032	+0	No	-$93	10-23 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$201	3,791	0	+3,791	No	-$201	04-16 17:28
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$200	3,363	0	+3,363	Yes	-$200	03-09 12:42
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	2	$189	439	0	+439	No	-$189	10-05 16:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	6	$154	3,040	0	+3,040	No	-$154	04-26 07:43
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	6	$151	36,366	0	+36,366	No	-$151	02-25 22:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$129	1,110	1,110	+0	No	-$71	04-12 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$102	1,311	0	+1,311	No	-$102	04-19 17:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$102	7,842	0	+7,842	No	-$102	04-17 18:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$100	20,110	0	+20,110	No	-$100	06-11 10:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$97	852	0	+852	No	-$97	04-29 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$96	1,206	0	+1,206	No	-$96	04-29 16:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	1	$94	1,429	0	+1,429	No	-$94	09-18 15:32
will bitcoin reach 88k september 7 13 2026	1	$92	1,536	0	+1,536	No	-$92	09-07 07:42
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$82	200	200	+0	Yes	-$18	03-06 07:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$79	10,553	0	+10,553	No	-$79	07-29 01:25
will bitcoin reach 88k september 28 october 4 2026	2	$75	338	0	+338	No	-$75	09-28 06:00
will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	3	$65	6,136	0	+6,136	No	-$65	08-02 14:23
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$60	1,103	0	+1,103	No	-$60	03-23 19:32
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?	2	$58	539	0	+539	No	-$58	09-10 09:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	19	$56	20,703	0	+20,703	No	-$56	06-12 17:49
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$54	1,611	0	+1,611	No	-$54	03-23 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 15:31:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	66	17¢	$11	0x895cd2…
10-23 15:20:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x0d7d43…
10-23 15:16:17	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	699	1¢	$7	0xe30373…
10-19 17:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	192	10¢	$19	0xf7faa8…
10-19 17:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x3c8587…
10-19 12:16:15	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x960168…
10-19 08:41:26	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	313	16¢	$50	0xcb8f96…
10-19 07:55:41	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	333	14¢	$47	0x120fd0…
10-19 07:06:26	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x404678…
10-15 14:12:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0x8fa0c6…
10-15 13:43:47	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	170	27¢	$46	0x0d4825…
10-15 12:29:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x4e1880…
10-12 12:59:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	584	16¢	$93	0xbb9d0e…
10-12 09:56:07	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb3c901…
10-12 09:55:32	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	411	23¢	$95	0x877397…
10-12 09:17:11	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	399	23¢	$92	0x5a4825…
10-12 09:15:16	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb0ba7b…
10-12 09:03:28	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc6b084…
10-12 09:02:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	377	25¢	$94	0x08fc09…
10-09 22:27:32	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa7b160…
10-07 15:26:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x897ea8…
10-07 15:26:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	545	53¢	$289	0x6826c4…
10-05 16:32:56	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x18af52…
10-05 16:32:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	435	43¢	$187	0x1775cc…
09-28 06:00:24	will bitcoin reach 88k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	84	23¢	$19	0x156839…
09-28 05:47:23	will bitcoin reach 88k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	254	22¢	$56	0x398389…
09-27 12:40:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xecd794…
09-27 12:37:30	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0x77df70…
09-27 09:14:12	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	420	27¢	$113	0xb49a5f…
09-25 14:16:29	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0xc1fa2a…
09-21 20:30:25	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	130	90¢	$117	0x301e48…
09-21 15:04:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xec18ad…
09-18 15:32:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$94	0xd842f8…
09-17 08:25:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,160	8¢	$93	0xf91f1b…
09-15 10:28:09	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	688	4¢	$28	0xff22ea…
09-14 17:56:01	will bitcoin reach 86k september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	328	9¢	$29	0x094659…
09-14 13:11:28	will bitcoin reach 86k september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	811	8¢	$65	0xd81075…
09-14 12:30:21	will bitcoin reach 86k september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	314	8¢	$25	0xa2f0c1…
09-14 10:23:51	will bitcoin reach 86k september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xf2005b…
09-10 09:26:13	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	156	7¢	$11	0x5ac859…
09-08 08:22:06	will bitcoin reach 84k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	383	12¢	$47	0xae397b…
09-07 12:27:19	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	443	12¢	$53	0x4c9c4e…
09-07 12:26:07	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x8088d4…
09-07 12:25:25	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	284	11¢	$30	0xc53904…
09-07 08:52:06	will bitcoin reach 86k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	522	11¢	$58	0xe1c138…
09-07 08:04:01	will bitcoin reach 86k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xcee22c…
09-07 07:53:15	will bitcoin reach 86k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	235	12¢	$28	0xf8ea74…
09-07 07:51:31	will bitcoin reach 86k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xdcc652…
09-07 07:42:37	will bitcoin reach 88k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,536	6¢	$92	0x435cfe…
08-21 03:58:34	Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	546	4¢	$20	0x91a110…
08-21 03:21:18	Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,094	2¢	$19	0xe115c6…
08-21 03:20:16	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xccb725…
08-18 01:21:57	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	3¢	$15	0x65171c…
08-09 07:23:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,115	3¢	$29	0xbed45d…
08-02 14:23:29	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,904	1¢	$19	0x804604…
08-01 15:50:36	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	3¢	$14	0x55aa4a…
08-01 15:47:02	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0xdb926b…
08-01 15:45:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,455	1¢	$16	0x3e0186…
08-01 15:44:32	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,777	1¢	$30	0xb09619…
08-01 15:43:39	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,083	1¢	$25	0x3dc0ea…
08-01 15:43:26	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,083	1¢	$25	0xad719a…
07-31 01:17:11	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	4¢	$15	0x24a215…
07-31 01:15:39	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	4¢	$10	0x98a298…
07-31 01:07:11	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,924	1¢	$25	0xa0a14b…
07-31 00:55:20	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	686	3¢	$20	0xe7f05b…
07-31 00:54:39	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x49813a…
07-29 01:25:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,750	0¢	$10	0xc74882…
07-21 15:52:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,612	0¢	$10	0xc6cbf7…
06-30 14:06:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	828	1¢	$11	0xabb787…
06-12 17:49:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,581	0¢	$3	0x23826e…
06-12 17:46:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x728eb9…
06-12 17:42:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xda3c45…
06-12 17:23:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8e0c3f…
06-12 17:23:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x469543…
06-12 17:23:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x986a5b…
06-12 17:23:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xcf6c7a…
06-12 17:22:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x90fd25…
06-12 17:22:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd822d1…
06-12 17:15:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x29650b…
06-12 17:15:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x16bd19…
06-12 17:15:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$1	0x3c0d9f…
06-12 17:14:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x62af89…
06-12 17:14:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0xf6d36b…
06-12 17:14:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	460	0¢	$1	0xaa28c7…
06-12 17:12:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xb6b419…
06-12 17:12:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x457d32…
06-11 10:08:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x45f169…
06-08 14:31:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	691	1¢	$10	0xf2ad80…
06-08 14:28:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x3c06dc…
06-08 14:22:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0xac9a7a…
05-25 15:09:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	515	2¢	$13	0x3ce756…
05-25 15:08:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,902	1¢	$15	0x494aa5…
05-25 15:07:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x2d88c4…
05-18 19:30:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	269	1¢	$2	0x3e0b50…
05-18 19:25:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,918	1¢	$22	0x146e37…
05-18 19:24:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,156	2¢	$25	0xb97bff…
05-18 19:22:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0x48a693…
05-18 19:22:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$25	0x78e621…
04-29 18:16:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	413	11¢	$47	0x3bcb36…
04-29 18:15:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	439	11¢	$50	0x593185…