Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
46
Trades
97
lifetime
Volume
$5.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.66K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
88% 91% -$8
Other
11% 67% +$23
Crypto
1% 15% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +399 $302 88¢ $353 +$51 10-14 16:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -294 -$268 97¢ $-287 -$19 10-14 15:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +230 $150 92¢ $212 +$63 09-13 19:18
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +190 $160 96¢ $182 +$22 07-12 17:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +121 $110 99¢ $119 +$9 05-23 20:17
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +114 $110 96¢ $110 $0 11-07 18:30
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +111 $100 97¢ $108 +$8 07-12 16:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +109 $86 92¢ $101 +$15 10-14 16:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2027? Yes +259 $110 34¢ $87 -$23 11-07 18:22
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +83 $68 96¢ $79 +$12 09-13 19:26
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +103 $25 8¢ $9 -$16 11-07 18:48
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +27 $20 12¢ $3 -$17 07-12 16:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +25 $15 12¢ $3 -$12 08-23 13:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +20 $19 12¢ $2 -$16 10-14 18:30