Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$230

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% 50% $-178

Other

17% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		-184	$-166	90¢	$-167	$-1	07-11 19:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		-76	$-62	84¢	$-63	$-2	06-27 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	3	$617	319	319	+0	open	—	03-29 15:53
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	5	$424	227	227	+0	open	—	03-12 22:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$374	383	0	+383	open	—	04-11 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$301	367	0	+367	Yes	$-301	03-15 13:21
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$300	319	0	+319	open	—	01-01 18:17
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	1	$300	321	0	+321	open	—	01-01 18:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$166	0	184	-184	open	—	07-11 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$100	222	0	+222	Yes	+$122	01-01 18:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$93	66	66	+0	open	—	03-29 22:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$86	125	125	+0	open	—	03-16 17:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$62	0	76	-76	open	—	06-27 19:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$46	52	0	+52	open	—	03-16 17:25
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$43	51	0	+51	open	—	03-14 23:39
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	1	$42	59	0	+59	open	—	01-01 19:07
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	1	$40	55	0	+55	open	—	01-01 19:07
bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	06-28 15:37
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	07-11 22:03
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	07-11 22:42
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$10	70	70	+0	open	—	03-14 14:38
bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	3	$6	250	219	+31	open	—	06-28 12:11
bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	2	$6	32	16	+16	open	—	06-27 12:15
will russia announce a christmas truce	1	$5	52	0	+52	open	—	01-01 17:44
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	06-28 17:17
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the black history month reception	1	$5	80	0	+80	open	—	02-18 19:18
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	02-27 22:06
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	02-22 20:22
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	07-11 22:49
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-11 22:49
bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	06-28 17:18
bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	1	$2	106	0	+106	open	—	06-27 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 22:50:07	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x72c88f…
07-11 22:49:55	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x570b0c…
07-11 22:49:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5228cc…
07-11 22:49:16	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd13711…
07-11 22:47:29	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7121b3…
07-11 22:42:35	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb1164f…
07-11 22:03:38	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x84ee67…
07-11 19:27:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	184	90¢	$166	0xdd927f…
06-28 17:18:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x89d7c0…
06-28 17:17:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc57266…
06-28 17:17:14	bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xee8d6e…
06-28 15:37:02	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xb9ee9b…
06-28 15:27:11	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2ba126…
06-28 12:11:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x68bac5…
06-27 20:01:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x7e0fd1…
06-27 19:30:16	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 27	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa58a72…
06-27 19:23:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xd55c84…
06-27 19:10:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	81¢	$62	0x3a4872…
06-27 12:15:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0xd7d291…
06-27 10:58:47	bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x902295…
06-27 09:09:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x66391f…
05-23 20:31:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb8e6a4…
04-11 16:44:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	383	98¢	$374	0xe8e6b6…
03-29 22:03:50	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x42e6a2…
03-29 15:53:22	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	219	100¢	$218	0xf661f6…
03-29 14:05:48	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xb5bb4e…
03-16 17:25:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x7305dd…
03-16 17:21:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0x635b39…
03-16 16:59:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x8b99eb…
03-16 16:37:49	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0xe2ed57…
03-15 13:21:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0xc1d6de…
03-14 23:39:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb9423…
03-14 14:38:37	Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	70	8¢	$6	0xc0f411…
03-12 23:59:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x0d0541…
03-12 23:58:13	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa0aabc…
03-12 22:13:39	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xa1c03b…
03-09 00:00:15	Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xc12c69…
03-08 23:55:59	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe4a151…
03-08 22:54:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x514e86…
03-08 22:53:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xe6d074…
03-08 22:53:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x51224c…
03-08 22:46:17	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xf67518…
02-27 22:06:31	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdd684d…
02-22 20:31:44	bitcoin above 72k on february 23	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x06e9b1…
02-22 20:22:48	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7af47d…
02-22 20:22:16	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8b6a37…
02-22 20:12:16	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x4d5782…
02-18 20:23:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0xad905a…
02-18 19:18:14	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xaef939…
01-01 19:07:29	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	No	BUY	59	71¢	$42	0xd3193a…
01-01 19:07:15	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x0adb8f…
01-01 18:52:09	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	321	94¢	$300	0x5e1c52…
01-01 18:17:19	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x82f6f4…
01-01 18:13:25	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x013942…
01-01 18:09:53	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x275b8c…
01-01 18:01:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x027ae5…
01-01 17:44:47	will russia announce a christmas truce	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x1ab3a7…