Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$143

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$139

10 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 11-11 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

75% 72% +$212

Politics

17% 25% -$40

Sports

4% 80% +$42

Crypto

3% 14% -$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	-46	-$42	96¢	$-44	-$2	08-10 10:06
Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	+43	$12	95¢	$41	+$29	10-25 08:51
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	+38	-$1	42¢	$16	+$17	11-09 15:54
Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	No	+13	$7	68¢	$9	+$1	11-11 08:51
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+10	$8	74¢	$8	$0	11-02 08:51
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?	No	+15	$7	48¢	$7	$0	11-05 07:41
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+48	$11	14¢	$7	-$5	10-31 08:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+17	$8	25¢	$4	-$3	11-01 08:51
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+28	$7	8¢	$2	-$5	11-07 20:59
will the minnesota 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827336	Yes	+117	$35	1¢	$1	-$34	07-30 16:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$263	187	187	+0	Yes	+$101	10-18 21:28
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	8	$230	168	168	+0	No	+$51	07-22 21:38
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	6	$168	141	141	+0	No	+$40	08-01 10:11
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	18	$105	198	198	+0	Yes	-$74	09-08 13:34
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	6	$90	92	92	+0	Yes	-$20	08-17 13:25
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	6	$81	74	74	+0	open	—	11-11 18:21
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	1	$79	100	0	+100	Yes	+$21	07-28 12:20
Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix <30%?	2	$79	193	0	+193	Yes	+$114	07-22 20:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	2	$70	153	0	+153	Yes	-$70	07-21 11:20
will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	4	$53	198	0	+198	open	—	08-12 04:52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$52	90	0	+90	Yes	+$38	07-16 12:10
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	2	$49	66	0	+66	Yes	+$17	02-01 19:17
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	1	$45	51	0	+51	Yes	+$6	07-25 06:43
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	2	$43	26	26	+0	Yes	+$8	08-07 10:08
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	7	$42	146	12	+134	Yes	-$37	09-19 11:23
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	5	$42	84	84	+0	No	-$2	08-12 06:04
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	1	$42	0	46	-46	open	—	08-10 10:06
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	2	$40	273	0	+273	No	-$40	07-16 20:30
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	3	$37	44	44	+0	open	—	10-26 08:52
will the minnesota 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827336	1	$35	117	0	+117	open	—	07-30 16:30
cbb txtech arz 2026 02 14	2	$32	19	19	+0	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+$0	02-15 00:14
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	1	$30	45	0	+45	No	-$30	07-25 00:49
Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals?	3	$26	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	09-02 08:25
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	3	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	11-03 23:40
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	2	$24	62	25	+38	open	—	11-09 15:54
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	1	$24	92	0	+92	Yes	+$68	07-16 12:50
mwoh swi fra 2026 02 12	1	$24	25	0	+25	Switzerland	+$2	02-12 05:29
amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	1	$23	25	0	+25	Yes	+$2	02-12 05:29
bitcoin up or down on february 12	1	$23	25	0	+25	Down	-$23	02-12 11:05
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	1	$22	26	0	+26	No	-$22	08-01 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:21:42	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0xf1f679…
11-11 08:51:21	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xbf0add…
11-09 15:54:30	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	SELL	25	51¢	$12	0x112413…
11-07 20:59:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb0192b…
11-07 20:58:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4009ae…
11-07 13:49:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfdae37…
11-06 10:51:39	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xea16f5…
11-05 07:41:24	Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1f831f…
11-03 23:40:10	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xb4d8ea…
11-03 11:10:16	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x90c939…
11-02 08:51:19	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x81c97a…
11-01 09:18:46	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x738a1b…
11-01 08:51:45	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x51468d…
11-01 05:41:36	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x9e1703…
10-31 17:16:24	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x1db7d9…
10-31 08:51:48	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x18cc18…
10-31 08:51:19	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0xc2cd53…
10-31 08:51:18	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	48	24¢	$11	0x9d4bc5…
10-26 08:52:36	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	44	56¢	$25	0x9a6ff2…
10-25 08:51:48	Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0xf637eb…
10-23 00:21:56	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x07a05a…
10-23 00:15:54	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	34	28¢	$9	0x9ce26c…
10-22 12:00:51	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x922b84…
10-18 21:28:09	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	187	97¢	$182	0xa95386…
10-01 20:25:05	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x975628…
10-01 20:25:03	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd8da33…
10-01 20:21:27	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x476175…
10-01 20:21:18	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x82397a…
10-01 20:21:17	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0xd1519f…
09-29 20:33:23	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	74	45¢	$33	0xa649c7…
09-28 14:01:36	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xd90422…
09-26 09:45:23	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xc25c73…
09-19 11:23:24	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x70bb68…
09-10 23:33:19	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x73b9a6…
09-08 13:34:16	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xa5a16d…
09-08 12:41:40	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x2fb97e…
09-08 12:41:39	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xabd11d…
09-08 12:41:39	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x129683…
09-08 12:33:34	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xfae06d…
09-08 12:33:34	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xf9b486…
09-08 12:33:34	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xe8dfb4…
09-08 12:32:24	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc6b11d…
09-08 12:32:24	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x20f268…
09-08 12:05:07	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x915b89…
09-08 11:55:43	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x9678f8…
09-08 11:55:42	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0xef48b9…
09-08 11:55:36	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x23aea5…
09-08 11:55:24	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x165466…
09-07 02:31:36	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x06bf8d…
09-02 08:25:45	Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xca4001…
09-02 08:24:30	Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc623f8…
08-26 14:00:22	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x078e2a…
08-25 19:57:48	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x543fb4…
08-17 13:25:45	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x940397…
08-15 04:22:55	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x6dce28…
08-14 08:51:46	will tommy hilfiger attend the us open finals 20260807052019156	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x08b9c9…
08-13 21:01:22	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x041b29…
08-13 19:07:07	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x8e3d46…
08-13 18:24:21	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x4f7355…
08-13 09:56:03	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xaf0c1f…
08-12 21:54:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x71d893…
08-12 21:53:16	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x478ea5…
08-12 06:04:58	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	84	24¢	$20	0x811a9a…
08-12 04:52:49	will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	Yes	BUY	86	27¢	$23	0xdc55a5…
08-10 12:55:52	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xc29856…
08-10 12:55:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x90cc00…
08-10 12:54:04	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x3da262…
08-10 12:53:15	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc3cdae…
08-10 10:06:43	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x573347…
08-10 08:22:39	will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xd10100…
08-09 07:21:13	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x79b928…
08-09 07:21:12	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7a4532…
08-07 22:08:27	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x09ab6d…
08-07 22:06:24	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x046f06…
08-07 10:08:52	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x3dde6a…
08-05 06:51:45	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x9e4bae…
08-04 19:23:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2af5cc…
08-04 08:10:03	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xa05ede…
08-04 06:28:42	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x394716…
08-03 22:05:36	will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xe51260…
08-03 15:28:08	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	65	27¢	$17	0xa1ccfa…
08-03 09:02:59	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xb41999…
08-03 03:51:56	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7e2472…
08-03 01:48:47	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0x564511…
08-01 11:32:24	will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x9ed832…
08-01 10:11:21	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	74¢	$35	0x32b40c…
08-01 08:15:08	Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x288bb1…
08-01 08:13:11	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xbd470c…
08-01 08:13:09	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4ab03f…
08-01 07:50:29	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x5b3f72…
08-01 06:05:44	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xda6df4…
07-31 22:46:18	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	88	74¢	$65	0xc5158e…
07-31 07:27:51	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x349f20…
07-30 16:30:50	will the minnesota 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827336	Yes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0xa83999…
07-28 12:20:20	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x4bb6af…
07-26 07:03:25	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0x42dfe0…
07-25 06:43:31	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3626a4…
07-25 06:43:30	Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x0b6aa5…
07-25 00:49:40	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa50e37…
07-23 21:39:39	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x850bbd…