Palatable-Dam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 08-06 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-29

Politics

46% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$948	485	485	+0	open	—	05-13 06:41
will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	4	$858	448	448	+0	open	—	08-05 06:33
israel military action against yemen by august 31	2	$851	455	455	+0	open	—	08-06 07:05
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$848	450	450	+0	open	—	08-06 10:05
will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	2	$846	450	450	+0	open	—	08-05 07:16
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$484	515	0	+515	open	—	05-19 09:23
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	1	$473	485	0	+485	Villarreal CF	+$12	05-13 06:46
mex pum maz 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	1	$307	310	0	+310	open	—	04-12 08:04
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$298	308	0	+308	open	—	04-11 07:43
will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	4	$183	950	950	+0	open	—	08-03 09:15
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	4	$180	950	950	+0	open	—	08-03 07:09
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	4	$169	940	940	+0	open	—	08-01 04:41
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	4	$153	875	875	+0	open	—	07-13 07:11
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	4	$134	920	920	+0	open	—	08-01 06:49
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	6	$105	890	890	+0	open	—	07-13 09:14
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	8	$105	497	497	+0	open	—	06-16 04:59
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	4	$84	870	870	+0	open	—	07-08 05:46
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	4	$79	786	786	+0	open	—	06-25 07:11
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	4	$73	780	780	+0	open	—	06-25 08:52
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	6	$64	850	850	+0	open	—	07-08 06:50
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	2	$50	995	0	+995	open	—	05-15 06:53
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	2	$42	990	0	+990	Randers FC	$-42	05-11 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 10:05:27	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	450	94¢	$424	0x8598ae…
08-06 07:11:57	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	450	94¢	$424	0xb34319…
08-06 07:05:44	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	SELL	455	93¢	$423	0xd50783…
08-06 05:36:36	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x13185e…
08-05 07:16:18	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	SELL	450	94¢	$423	0xfd98c0…
08-05 06:44:59	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	450	94¢	$423	0x2b1d74…
08-05 06:33:45	will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	SELL	428	96¢	$410	0x5f436d…
08-05 06:32:17	will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf98e34…
08-05 06:31:45	will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf8631e…
08-05 02:51:48	will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	BUY	448	96¢	$429	0xba79e3…
08-03 09:15:18	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	480	10¢	$49	0x66ad1e…
08-03 09:14:53	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	470	10¢	$47	0x2fdfe9…
08-03 07:16:47	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	480	9¢	$44	0x2d5a1a…
08-03 07:16:33	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	470	9¢	$43	0x5cd0a1…
08-03 07:09:38	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	SELL	470	9¢	$42	0x431d93…
08-03 07:09:29	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	SELL	480	9¢	$43	0xfcc923…
08-03 06:13:21	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	BUY	480	10¢	$48	0x146638…
08-03 06:13:03	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	BUY	470	10¢	$47	0x853615…
08-01 06:49:17	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	465	7¢	$34	0xbd6a5b…
08-01 06:48:42	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	455	7¢	$33	0xfb0f9a…
08-01 06:26:57	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	465	7¢	$34	0x3497dd…
08-01 06:26:42	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	455	7¢	$33	0x742ce3…
08-01 04:41:53	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	465	9¢	$42	0x9e5375…
08-01 04:41:45	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	475	9¢	$43	0xdfbd36…
08-01 02:33:48	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	475	9¢	$43	0x2bd585…
08-01 02:33:29	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	465	9¢	$42	0x4778a2…
07-13 09:14:01	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x64b2c3…
07-13 09:11:32	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	445	5¢	$22	0xd157e8…
07-13 09:11:22	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	5¢	$22	0x56fb52…
07-13 07:32:25	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0xe0e929…
07-13 07:32:20	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2431fa…
07-13 07:31:59	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	7¢	$31	0x8b32ed…
07-13 07:11:35	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	SELL	435	9¢	$39	0xffa325…
07-13 07:11:04	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	SELL	440	9¢	$40	0x0a21ad…
07-13 06:18:38	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	BUY	430	8¢	$34	0xad894d…
07-13 06:17:52	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	BUY	445	9¢	$40	0x4e0dfc…
07-08 06:50:23	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$8	0x28ebba…
07-08 06:48:44	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$8	0x697cf4…
07-08 06:48:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xfa4f76…
07-08 06:48:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x437f05…
07-08 05:58:55	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	430	4¢	$17	0xa9f767…
07-08 05:58:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	420	4¢	$16	0xf673de…
07-08 05:46:32	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	440	5¢	$20	0xb1ead2…
07-08 05:46:13	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	430	5¢	$20	0xbc3569…
07-08 04:50:19	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	440	5¢	$22	0xf8b3d1…
07-08 04:50:04	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$22	0x305b2f…
06-25 08:52:52	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	395	5¢	$18	0x312c2a…
06-25 08:52:37	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	385	5¢	$18	0x51ea04…
06-25 07:21:43	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	395	5¢	$19	0xb374fd…
06-25 07:21:10	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$18	0x631361…
06-25 07:11:52	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	5¢	$19	0x4bf828…
06-25 07:11:37	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	398	5¢	$20	0xdad794…
06-25 05:58:08	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0x4966d1…
06-25 05:57:47	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	388	5¢	$19	0x1cd16d…
06-16 04:59:34	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xe1c4d6…
06-16 04:59:22	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6080a6…
06-16 04:55:15	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xebcafa…
06-16 04:54:58	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	140	12¢	$17	0xbca308…
06-16 04:54:49	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xefd27a…
06-16 04:54:25	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x8b7bcd…
06-16 03:23:27	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	252	9¢	$23	0xcd0cb8…
06-16 03:23:00	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	240	9¢	$22	0xab2e30…
05-19 09:23:59	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	515	94¢	$484	0xedaa03…
05-15 06:53:46	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Auckland FC	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0x71764c…
05-15 06:53:30	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Auckland FC	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x5f026a…
05-13 06:46:14	Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	485	98¢	$473	0x4d1136…
05-13 06:41:46	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	485	98¢	$474	0xc0b0e8…
05-13 06:12:08	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	485	98¢	$473	0x58591a…
05-11 09:02:37	Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	Odense BK	BUY	500	4¢	$21	0x769a5e…
05-11 09:02:21	Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	Odense BK	BUY	490	4¢	$21	0x8e5497…
04-12 08:04:29	mex pum maz 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Pumas de la UNAM	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0xdb1785…
04-11 07:43:57	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	308	97¢	$298	0x801835…