Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$495

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

5,427

Trades

8,441

lifetime

Volume

$87.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-23 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

77% 43% +$474

Sports

13% 49% -$175

Crypto

5% 68% -$523

Politics

4% 48% -$216

Tech

0% 47% -$45

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$156	155	155	+0	open	—	10-23 18:43
val jl pcfic 2026 08 13	5	$150	455	0	+455	Joblife	-$150	08-13 14:58
cs2 b8 vit 2026 08 14 game1	6	$150	625	0	+625	Vitality	-$150	08-14 13:01
val nova jdg 2026 08 14	5	$150	493	0	+493	JD Gaming	+$343	08-14 05:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	9	$147	409	409	+0	open	—	10-23 18:42
cs2 wc1 furia 2026 08 12	5	$145	636	0	+636	FURIA	-$120	08-11 19:55
cs2 aur1 m80 2026 08 13	5	$145	518	0	+518	Aurora Gaming	-$145	08-12 21:12
cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	5	$145	690	0	+690	Team Falcons	-$145	08-13 02:02
lol t1a dkc 2026 08 13	4	$140	412	0	+412	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$272	08-13 22:58
dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14	4	$140	424	0	+424	TEAM VISION	-$140	08-14 01:48
lol we tes 2026 08 14	4	$140	452	0	+452	Team WE	+$312	08-14 05:50
lol g2 shft 2026 08 15 game handicap away 1pt5	6	$140	567	0	+567	G2 Esports	-$140	08-15 16:50
dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game handicap home 1pt5	8	$140	398	0	+398	Nigma Galaxy	-$140	08-22 04:56
lol gen hle1 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	5	$135	423	0	+423	Gen.G	+$288	08-13 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	2	$133	86	86	+0	open	—	10-23 18:42
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	6	$130	374	0	+374	TEAM VISION	-$116	08-20 07:08
dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	4	$125	500	0	+500	Team Yandex	-$125	08-12 21:18
wnba dal ind 2026 08 14	4	$125	481	0	+481	Indiana Fever	-$125	08-14 15:34
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?	4	$125	403	0	+403	No	-$125	08-13 11:42
val jdg edg1 2026 08 11	3	$120	426	0	+426	JD Gaming	+$280	08-11 07:52
dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12	3	$120	500	0	+500	BoomBoys	-$120	08-12 21:57
val kru1 mibr 2026 08 15	6	$120	430	0	+430	MIBR	-$120	08-15 19:39
val ge1 zeta2 2026 08 08	4	$120	437	0	+437	Global Esports	-$120	08-08 10:05
dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	5	$120	356	0	+356	Team Spirit	-$120	08-22 21:59
atp borges kokkina 2026 08 13	5	$120	382	0	+382	Nuno Borges	-$120	08-14 19:02
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	10	$120	409	0	+409	TEAM VISION	-$93	08-20 02:25
lol t1 gen 2026 08 16 game handicap home 1pt5	6	$115	341	0	+341	Gen.G	+$226	08-16 07:53
dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	9	$114	419	0	+419	Team Yandex	-$114	08-16 11:35
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$113	91	91	+0	open	—	10-23 18:42
ufc jul11 rav 2026 08 08	3	$110	398	0	+398	Juliana Miller	-$96	08-08 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:44:14	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc18d1c…
10-23 18:44:14	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1a4337…
10-23 18:44:12	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xda48b6…
10-23 18:44:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x709b82…
10-23 18:44:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x69a3c1…
10-23 18:44:12	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x3e0534…
10-23 18:44:11	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x8baec5…
10-23 18:44:11	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0x63b8c8…
10-23 18:44:11	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x06eacd…
10-23 18:44:09	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0xd7c554…
10-23 18:44:09	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xc471b7…
10-23 18:44:09	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x994e24…
10-23 18:44:09	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$2	0x31c243…
10-23 18:44:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xc8f467…
10-23 18:44:08	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x2b1128…
10-23 18:44:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x16f691…
10-23 18:44:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xb2d04e…
10-23 18:44:06	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x580337…
10-23 18:44:06	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0x4a5400…
10-23 18:44:06	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x1cfe13…
10-23 18:44:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0xffe561…
10-23 18:44:05	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0xd814be…
10-23 18:44:05	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x640ea9…
10-23 18:44:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x1565a9…
10-23 18:44:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xe00f44…
10-23 18:44:03	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x500f5b…
10-23 18:44:03	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x34f285…
10-23 18:44:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x1cf0ef…
10-23 18:44:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xf32c6f…
10-23 18:44:02	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xe1bf54…
10-23 18:44:02	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0xda33ad…
10-23 18:44:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x3071b7…
10-23 18:44:00	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xf9c751…
10-23 18:44:00	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$2	0xc94bfa…
10-23 18:43:59	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0xee8e8a…
10-23 18:43:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0xe71150…
10-23 18:43:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x892726…
10-23 18:43:57	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x62ad5b…
10-23 18:43:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x0852d0…
10-23 18:43:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x52ac5a…
10-23 18:43:54	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x4f9d98…
10-23 18:43:54	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4598f5…
10-23 18:43:53	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xd46aba…
10-23 18:43:53	Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xc878b8…
10-23 18:43:53	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x10f8b5…
10-23 18:43:51	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x995cab…
10-23 18:43:51	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x98c1ba…
10-23 18:43:51	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x911406…
10-23 18:43:50	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5ece41…
10-23 18:43:50	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4bd2fa…
10-23 18:43:50	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0b988b…
10-23 18:43:48	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfbac2f…
10-23 18:43:48	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x39058b…
10-23 18:43:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xccca24…
10-23 18:43:47	Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x474dd1…
10-23 18:43:47	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x10ae4a…
10-23 18:43:45	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf17796…
10-23 18:43:45	Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0cd66…
10-23 18:43:45	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5cba27…
10-23 18:43:45	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x089464…
10-23 18:43:44	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4c69…
10-23 18:43:44	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd0fb17…
10-23 18:43:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe3ce7a…
10-23 18:43:41	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa2c2a4…
10-23 18:43:41	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2ca41a…
10-23 18:43:39	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3c6881…
10-23 18:43:39	Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0c8736…
10-23 18:43:39	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00990e…
10-23 18:43:38	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6982e1…
10-23 18:43:38	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5e6f46…
10-23 18:43:38	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x33f688…
10-23 18:43:36	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb0917c…
10-23 18:43:36	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x8a3b66…
10-23 18:43:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x512cd8…
10-23 18:43:36	Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x08544d…
10-23 18:43:35	Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfe2f3a…
10-23 18:43:35	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x6dcb3a…
10-23 18:43:35	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x677b28…
10-23 18:43:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x8ec2f1…
10-23 18:43:33	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x76e347…
10-23 18:43:32	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcb3b33…
10-23 18:43:32	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbaff09…
10-23 18:43:32	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x998654…
10-23 18:43:30	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdbce26…
10-23 18:43:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xdb62bd…
10-23 18:43:30	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb0b61e…
10-23 18:43:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x2d30db…
10-23 18:43:29	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xbf03cb…
10-23 18:43:29	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x790216…
10-23 18:43:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf6e902…
10-23 18:43:27	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x94cda7…
10-23 18:43:27	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6bf0d6…
10-23 18:43:27	Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x232d2d…
10-23 18:43:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe13806…
10-23 18:43:26	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xd1a427…
10-23 18:43:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xb7a1f7…
10-23 18:43:26	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x129683…
10-23 18:43:24	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x764c71…
10-23 18:43:24	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x07da31…
10-23 18:43:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbfd024…