Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

-$187

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$395

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 08-15 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

61% 60% -$15

Other

27% 42% -$72

Tech

10% 25% -$43

Sports

1% 0% -$20

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	+2,236	$310	10¢	$212	-$98	08-15 11:15
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	+916	$200	13¢	$123	-$77	08-04 08:32
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	07-22 11:16
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	+11	$10	95¢	$10	+$0	07-22 11:17
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	07-22 11:16
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+417	$10	2¢	$7	-$3	07-22 11:26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+37	$10	18¢	$6	-$4	07-22 11:26
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	+6	$5	92¢	$6	+$1	07-22 11:05
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	21¢	$4	-$6	07-22 11:08
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+455	$5	1¢	$3	-$2	07-22 13:10
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	07-22 11:15
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	07-22 11:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	2	$310	2,236	0	+2,236	open	—	08-15 11:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$228	250	250	+0	open	—	08-04 05:17
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$220	2,115	2,115	+0	open	—	08-06 16:05
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	2	$200	916	0	+916	open	—	08-04 08:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$105	142	0	+142	Yes	+$37	07-22 11:27
atp baez rinderk 2026 07 22	1	$100	123	0	+123	Sebastian Baez	+$23	07-22 11:30
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	07-22 11:03
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?	2	$60	262	0	+262	No	-$48	07-22 11:33
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	2	$40	158	0	+158	No	-$40	08-08 08:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$30	625	625	+0	open	—	08-04 05:20
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	2	$30	1,273	0	+1,273	No	-$30	08-08 08:12
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	3	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	08-04 05:21
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$24	522	522	+0	open	—	08-04 05:20
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	3	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	08-04 05:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	2	$20	48	48	+0	open	—	08-04 05:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	08-04 05:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	08-04 05:22
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$20	154	0	+154	No	-$20	08-15 11:22
will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	2	$20	651	0	+651	No	-$20	07-22 13:13
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	08-04 05:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	08-04 05:16
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	07-22 11:31
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$10	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-22 13:10
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	1	$10	35	0	+35	No	-$10	08-06 16:09
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?	1	$10	48	0	+48	No	-$10	07-22 11:35
atp bublik acosta 2026 07 22	1	$10	15	0	+15	Alexander Bublik	+$5	07-22 11:32
will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	1	$10	38	0	+38	No	-$10	07-22 11:27
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$10	417	0	+417	open	—	07-22 11:26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	07-22 11:26
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	-$10	07-24 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 11:22:49	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x3a6fbe…
08-15 11:15:37	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2,174	14¢	$300	0xfcd5aa…
08-08 08:12:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x1e63ef…
08-08 08:12:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,197	2¢	$20	0x5dfa3f…
08-06 16:09:59	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x9e8d79…
08-06 16:09:50	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x792f8b…
08-06 16:09:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa1d8f1…
08-06 16:08:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x186b64…
08-06 16:05:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,115	5¢	$110	0x4c145f…
08-04 08:32:50	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0x915e8e…
08-04 08:31:33	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xe0f521…
08-04 05:24:24	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe78fc0…
08-04 05:22:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x7dea0a…
08-04 05:22:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xc6a0e4…
08-04 05:21:45	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x52fd04…
08-04 05:21:30	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x4a7566…
08-04 05:20:42	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	522	3¢	$14	0xe580ab…
08-04 05:20:03	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	625	2¢	$15	0xa9113e…
08-04 05:18:50	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x9e9655…
08-04 05:18:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x095357…
08-04 05:17:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	250	47¢	$118	0x2a44e5…
08-04 05:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x2c717c…
08-04 05:15:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x131b9a…
07-24 09:24:04	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8d3b0a…
07-24 09:22:34	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1954d6…
07-24 09:20:25	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x78240b…
07-24 09:19:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5a853a…
07-24 09:11:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1b3832…
07-22 13:14:39	will krakens valuation hit high 14 by july 31 20260629184742671	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$0	0x5716c1…
07-22 13:13:21	will krakens valuation hit high 11 by july 31 20260629184742675	Yes	BUY	289	3¢	$10	0x64de24…
07-22 13:13:00	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	Yes	BUY	291	3¢	$10	0xaf5d85…
07-22 13:10:51	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xe7590d…
07-22 13:10:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x54dc1e…
07-22 13:09:51	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	522	2¢	$10	0xe616f2…
07-22 13:09:34	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,115	5¢	$110	0x545f06…
07-22 13:08:55	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3ba595…
07-22 11:35:03	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x573517…
07-22 11:33:36	Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x41efc0…
07-22 11:32:01	atp bublik acosta 2026 07 22	Alexander Bublik	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2ef2fb…
07-22 11:31:27	Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3c4a45…
07-22 11:31:04	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdd4971…
07-22 11:30:31	atp baez rinderk 2026 07 22	Sebastian Baez	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa7344d…
07-22 11:27:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xeb5395…
07-22 11:27:31	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xac8176…
07-22 11:27:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x94abc0…
07-22 11:26:30	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0xc388c5…
07-22 11:26:01	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6f5d37…
07-22 11:21:43	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x789117…
07-22 11:21:04	will krakens valuation hit high 12 by july 31 20260629184742673	Yes	BUY	540	2¢	$10	0x4baf32…
07-22 11:19:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0x9aa33c…
07-22 11:17:34	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9b763…
07-22 11:17:04	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6f35dc…
07-22 11:16:54	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x201f4b…
07-22 11:16:39	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x758a41…
07-22 11:16:25	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x643e39…
07-22 11:15:52	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9f5b4b…
07-22 11:15:43	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x497510…
07-22 11:14:34	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3aef3…
07-22 11:10:30	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6f470c…
07-22 11:08:57	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4fbb31…
07-22 11:08:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x648d53…
07-22 11:07:10	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e3229…
07-22 11:05:25	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x297b81…
07-22 11:03:45	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x755385…
07-22 11:02:40	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4be5a3…
07-22 11:01:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x807ce8…
07-22 11:01:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf1a55e…
07-22 10:58:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$15	0xa514c1…
07-22 10:54:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x33faa5…
07-22 10:53:34	will krakens valuation hit high 14 by july 31 20260629184742671	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0xa927a0…
07-22 10:51:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcc8105…
07-22 10:51:03	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xaa5ea8…
07-22 10:49:06	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b37b2…
07-22 10:47:45	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x935d89…