Realized P&L (90d)
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$201
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved (90d)
16
Trades (90d)
23
74 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$942
$1.85K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$381
12 positions
First seen
2026-07-22
last 08-15 11:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
61% 60% -$15
Other
27% 42% -$72
Tech
10% 25% -$43
Sports
1% 0% -$20
Crypto
1% 0% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +2,236 $310 8¢ $190 -$120 08-15 11:15
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 Yes +916 $200 14¢ $132 -$68 08-04 08:32
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-22 11:16
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026 No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 07-22 11:17
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 07-22 11:16
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +417 $10 2¢ $7 -$3 07-22 11:26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +37 $10 18¢ $6 -$4 07-22 11:26
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 07-22 11:05
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +20 $10 24¢ $5 -$5 07-22 11:08
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +455 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 07-22 13:10
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-22 11:15
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 07-22 11:15