Improbable-Typewriter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-09 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

99% 67% +$26

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	4	$1.0K	736	372	+364	open	—	04-16 08:47
Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	2	$737	380	379	+1	open	—	04-27 06:02
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$719	378	378	+0	open	—	04-13 02:32
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	2	$603	307	307	+0	open	—	04-08 06:50
Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)	1	$456	485	0	+485	open	—	04-27 08:55
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	1	$438	450	0	+450	RB Leipzig	+$12	05-09 07:50
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	1	$437	470	0	+470	FC UTA Arad	+$33	05-08 06:25
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	5	$39	910	910	+0	open	—	05-06 09:29
Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)	2	$19	906	0	+906	Kashiwa Reysol	$-19	05-06 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 07:50:55	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	450	97¢	$438	0xee78a7…
05-08 06:25:10	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0xe5ec90…
05-06 09:34:08	Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)	Urawa Red Diamonds	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0x3354f8…
05-06 09:33:56	Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)	Urawa Red Diamonds	BUY	448	2¢	$9	0x019611…
05-06 09:29:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xa37be4…
05-06 09:28:14	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	2¢	$9	0x989cde…
05-06 09:25:42	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	2¢	$10	0x1ff78a…
05-06 08:48:04	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	2¢	$10	0xf06180…
05-06 08:47:24	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0x9fadf6…
04-27 08:55:08	Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)	Konyaspor	BUY	485	94¢	$456	0x5ccd5a…
04-27 06:02:38	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Caracas FC	SELL	379	99¢	$376	0x292dc1…
04-16 08:47:32	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	364	94¢	$342	0xceb4c7…
04-16 08:36:36	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Real Betis Balompié	SELL	372	92¢	$342	0x6e9ac2…
04-16 08:33:06	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	221	94¢	$208	0xf404ba…
04-16 08:33:04	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	151	94¢	$141	0x1fcdc4…
04-15 09:49:46	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Caracas FC	BUY	380	95¢	$361	0x9d05a7…
04-13 02:32:31	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	217	95¢	$207	0x68f7a4…
04-13 02:10:41	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	111	96¢	$106	0xfdfb8f…
04-13 01:59:07	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x59d3f9…
04-13 01:06:21	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x5cb385…
04-12 04:56:47	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	332	95¢	$314	0x2cd6d4…
04-08 06:50:55	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$301	0xd09ab4…
04-08 06:11:17	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0x7d542d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Obedient-Doorpost 0xbe2d…b49a	7	$3.70K	13	05-09 07:51
(anonymous) 0x8b1a…8ebd	7	$3.17K	11	05-09 07:50
Lone-Porter 0x5666…25c7	6	$3.12K	18	05-09 07:51
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	6	$2.66K	25	05-09 14:45
Hard-Scalp-Prizefight 0xc675…2199	6	$2.53K	10	05-09 07:50
Earnest-Solution 0x6704…6799	6	$1.08K	16	05-09 07:51
Pink-Chemistry 0x064f…dad8	5	$2.46K	12	05-09 07:00
(anonymous) 0x77d6…c7bb	5	$1.91K	7	05-09 06:52