Harmful-Wrench 0x709a4b…2b7e39
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.72K
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,457
lifetime
Volume
$432.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$72.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-21 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
60% 50% $-6,877
Other
40% 100% +$590
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 494 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +20,660 $18,554 90¢ $18.7K +$143 07-21 08:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -11,148 $-10,747 96¢ $-10686 +$61 07-02 14:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,185 $9,428 95¢ $9.7K +$253 07-08 07:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No +8,800 $8,129 92¢ $8.1K +$11 07-12 22:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +7,672 $7,157 94¢ $7.2K +$54 07-14 03:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -4,916 $-4,734 97¢ $-4756 $-22 06-16 09:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -6,477 $-5,862 54¢ $-3465 +$2,396 06-18 07:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +3,300 $2,937 86¢ $2.9K $-82 07-17 09:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,815 $-1,720 97¢ $-1759 $-39 06-19 05:56
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +1,631 $1,457 92¢ $1.5K +$44 07-19 14:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,100 $1,023 94¢ $1.0K +$5 07-17 16:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +975 $-26 92¢ $892 +$918 07-08 17:26
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,620 $-837 54¢ $-867 $-30 06-12 00:07
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +736 $689 95¢ $699 +$10 07-13 08:33