Harmful-Wrench 0x709a4b…2b7e39
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.18K
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
808
lifetime
Volume
$364.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$451
Open exposure
$60.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-30 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% $-6,877
Other
36% 100% +$590
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11,975 $9,984 86¢ $10.4K +$374 06-28 04:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8,500 $8,052 99¢ $8.4K +$392 06-30 02:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,900 $8,206 94¢ $8.3K +$129 06-13 08:07
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +8,804 $7,865 92¢ $8.1K +$190 07-01 03:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -6,477 $-5,862 82¢ $-5343 +$518 06-18 07:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -4,916 $-4,734 96¢ $-4727 +$7 06-16 09:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +3,300 $3,227 100¢ $3.3K +$69 06-01 09:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2,950 $2,870 100¢ $2.9K +$77 06-13 08:09
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +2,884 $2,682 94¢ $2.7K +$14 06-13 08:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,468 $2,134 86¢ $2.1K +$0 07-01 02:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,815 $-1,720 95¢ $-1725 $-5 06-19 05:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,620 $-837 64¢ $-1045 $-208 06-12 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,001 $259 18¢ $875 +$616 06-30 03:14