Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.22K

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$362.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$722

Open exposure

$41.5K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

78% 90% +$1,580

Other

14% 75% -$671

Crypto

8% 88% +$3,075

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+15,148	$13,178	88¢	$13.3K	+$84	10-21 00:36
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	+15,983	$7,836	56¢	$9.0K	+$1,195	10-30 21:16
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+3,174	$2,869	90¢	$2.9K	-$1	10-16 00:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+2,642	$2,457	92¢	$2.4K	-$40	10-15 15:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,877	$1,689	95¢	$1.8K	+$97	08-27 09:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1,790	$1,629	88¢	$1.6K	-$50	10-16 00:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+1,710	$1,556	91¢	$1.6K	+$6	10-15 14:55
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+1,555	$1,313	100¢	$1.6K	+$241	08-27 14:35
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	+1,551	$1,482	95¢	$1.5K	-$2	10-15 22:17
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	-1,236	-$1,074	94¢	$-1168	-$95	10-21 00:56
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	+1,181	$1,136	98¢	$1.2K	+$27	08-27 14:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	+971	$850	100¢	$969	+$120	08-27 09:06
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+1,036	$940	89¢	$922	-$19	08-27 08:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,111	$978	82¢	$917	-$61	08-27 14:22
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	+611	$568	92¢	$559	-$9	08-27 08:54
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	+314	$296	96¢	$301	+$5	08-27 14:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	-$3,724	72¢	$0	+$3,725	10-30 00:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$1,640	96¢	$0	+$1,640	10-27 00:16
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	-$2,314	61¢	$0	+$2,314	10-25 17:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+0	-$48	96¢	$0	+$48	10-31 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	186	$99.1K	74,494	74,493	+1	open	—	10-30 00:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	94	$56.4K	32,253	32,253	+0	open	—	10-27 00:16
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	66	$53.1K	49,175	49,175	+0	open	—	10-25 17:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$14.8K	8,964	8,964	+0	Yes	+$448	10-24 22:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$13.2K	15,148	0	+15,148	open	—	10-21 00:36
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	15	$13.2K	20,896	4,913	+15,983	open	—	10-30 21:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	1	$7.4K	8,527	0	+8,527	No	+$1,129	10-16 00:19
bitcoin above 88k on october 22 2026	1	$7.4K	7,755	0	+7,755	No	+$388	10-16 00:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	1	$6.6K	7,375	0	+7,375	No	+$738	10-16 22:58
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$5.6K	3,359	3,359	+0	open	—	10-21 00:45
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	1	$3.8K	3,895	0	+3,895	open	—	10-15 22:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?	1	$3.7K	4,176	0	+4,176	No	+$503	10-16 22:56
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,780	1,780	+0	open	—	10-21 00:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2.9K	3,174	0	+3,174	open	—	10-16 00:12
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	10-21 00:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$2.5K	2,642	0	+2,642	open	—	10-15 15:00
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	6	$2.4K	1,401	1,400	+1	No	+$372	02-25 15:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	5	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	10-31 11:47
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	2	$2.1K	1,149	1,149	+0	No	+$142	02-25 14:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$2.1K	2,316	1,000	+1,316	Yes	-$980	04-05 19:24
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	5	$2.1K	1,277	1,277	+0	No	+$89	02-03 13:18
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	4	$2.1K	1,103	1,103	+0	No	+$75	02-03 13:16
will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	5	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$67	02-27 15:57
will russia capture havrylivka by february 28 2026	4	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	+$34	02-27 20:16
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$3	02-05 18:07
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,180	0	+2,180	open	—	08-27 14:40
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	10-21 00:50
will russia capture dobropillia by december 31 2026	2	$1.9K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	10-21 00:57
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,915	0	+1,915	open	—	10-15 15:03
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	2	$1.7K	1,970	0	+1,970	open	—	10-15 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:47:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	384	96¢	$369	0xea1d27…
10-31 10:32:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x6c1950…
10-31 08:00:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x4a4509…
10-31 07:24:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	587	96¢	$564	0x6a498d…
10-30 21:16:12	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0xee1637…
10-30 19:59:31	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xf54c56…
10-30 14:46:04	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2b9c45…
10-30 13:14:49	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	835	57¢	$476	0x6c2a89…
10-30 00:39:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	383	69¢	$264	0xefa1c5…
10-30 00:27:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	77	69¢	$53	0xd879be…
10-30 00:23:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0xbb9cf9…
10-30 00:05:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	580	69¢	$400	0x804d9f…
10-30 00:05:03	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0xb57230…
10-30 00:00:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x90222d…
10-29 23:56:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x64353d…
10-29 23:51:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x61ca18…
10-29 23:40:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	712	69¢	$492	0xa530be…
10-29 23:39:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x13b817…
10-29 23:37:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	276	69¢	$190	0x216b92…
10-29 23:34:49	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	800	69¢	$552	0x182fd3…
10-29 23:33:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x2adbaa…
10-29 23:27:46	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	275	69¢	$190	0x675662…
10-29 23:25:03	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	72	69¢	$50	0x9fe627…
10-29 23:12:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5,797	69¢	$4,000	0x57a3e6…
10-29 22:44:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x866420…
10-29 22:40:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	290	69¢	$200	0x323b05…
10-29 22:28:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x9de5f6…
10-29 17:46:49	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x94afac…
10-29 17:46:44	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	129	57¢	$73	0xad0f95…
10-29 17:35:49	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe8b885…
10-29 17:35:38	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x43d82a…
10-29 17:26:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xe796d2…
10-29 17:20:56	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	174	69¢	$120	0xdf3b77…
10-29 17:19:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xfe909a…
10-29 17:12:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x7a1afa…
10-29 17:12:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x058d5d…
10-29 17:11:32	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0xc1d7e3…
10-29 16:56:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0x5850ac…
10-29 16:56:05	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x5d787c…
10-29 16:53:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	435	69¢	$300	0xc7726f…
10-29 16:44:50	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x112d28…
10-29 16:39:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x020e39…
10-29 16:36:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x7921da…
10-29 16:23:07	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	59	69¢	$41	0x12173c…
10-29 15:29:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xa70af2…
10-29 15:29:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0xe78ea6…
10-29 15:28:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xa54889…
10-29 12:47:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xfb1ab6…
10-29 12:47:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x4cae8f…
10-29 12:46:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x170f4b…
10-29 12:45:11	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xd82203…
10-27 23:56:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	828	69¢	$571	0x3db9bd…
10-27 23:50:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x6ce423…
10-27 23:50:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	660	69¢	$455	0x20f1a5…
10-27 00:16:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,252	90¢	$1,127	0xdbab3d…
10-26 23:06:03	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x3224fd…
10-26 22:24:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x09609b…
10-26 22:22:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	102	90¢	$92	0x969918…
10-26 21:57:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdf59f0…
10-26 21:56:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x205313…
10-26 21:55:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	168	90¢	$151	0xa5852b…
10-26 21:55:08	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x7163ff…
10-26 21:55:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,837	90¢	$4,353	0x2a341a…
10-26 21:51:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	291	90¢	$262	0xe598be…
10-26 21:46:26	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x5a7921…
10-26 21:37:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdb695a…
10-26 21:35:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xc7db3e…
10-26 21:32:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x7afc5b…
10-26 21:32:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xca8b60…
10-26 21:31:38	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0xce9297…
10-26 21:30:14	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xbc51ba…
10-26 21:30:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	261	90¢	$235	0xdbbfe5…
10-26 21:28:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	345	90¢	$311	0x4e322c…
10-26 21:27:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xe23232…
10-26 21:26:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x7dcca6…
10-26 21:24:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	345	90¢	$311	0x888cb3…
10-26 21:21:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	294	90¢	$265	0x097bb8…
10-26 21:20:51	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x3e0fc5…
10-26 21:20:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe2f5e5…
10-26 20:46:27	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x147434…
10-26 20:41:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	95	90¢	$86	0xc92ff5…
10-26 20:40:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xcf3b53…
10-26 20:36:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x9577ee…
10-26 20:35:08	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x2a31fe…
10-26 20:35:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x47de5d…
10-26 20:34:56	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0x357d3f…
10-26 20:34:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	102	90¢	$92	0x31daa4…
10-26 20:34:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	102	90¢	$92	0x39ab02…
10-26 20:34:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0xef23ce…
10-26 20:32:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xb4f9f1…
10-26 20:30:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x98d2a2…
10-26 20:29:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd4ef36…
10-26 20:29:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$33	0xad35af…
10-26 20:28:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x2bad1b…
10-26 20:22:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	896	90¢	$807	0x9da5a1…
10-26 20:19:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xf25e88…
10-26 20:18:44	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	333	90¢	$300	0x4588a5…
10-26 20:13:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$33	0x2e8291…
10-26 20:13:24	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x770777…
10-26 20:05:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xb5a619…