Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$2.14K

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 11-01 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

91% 60% +$417

Other

6% 47% -$345

Crypto

3% 54% -$6

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+1,347	$1,262	97¢	$1.3K	+$51	10-10 11:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	+702	$654	95¢	$668	+$15	10-01 13:00
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	+166	$154	96¢	$159	+$4	09-30 17:27
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$2	95¢	$0	+$2	10-04 05:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	11	$8.4K	4,528	4,528	+0	No	+$681	09-21 09:12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$3.4K	1,798	1,798	+0	Yes	+$189	09-21 09:39
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	29	$1.7K	1,772	1,772	+0	No	-$385	09-21 19:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	18	$1.3K	1,347	0	+1,347	open	—	10-10 11:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	10	$654	702	0	+702	open	—	10-01 13:00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	8	$418	225	225	+0	No	+$20	09-30 17:28
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	17	$239	1,017	4	+1,013	Yes	-$235	10-09 19:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	5	$226	121	121	+0	open	—	10-30 15:52
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	3	$179	98	98	+0	Yes	+$14	11-01 12:48
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	4	$154	166	0	+166	open	—	09-30 17:27
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	4	$108	103	103	+0	Yes	+$8	09-21 05:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$107	80	80	+0	Yes	+$6	10-30 15:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 11:36
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$2	10-09 09:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	2	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 10:39
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by september 30 2026	3	$91	46	46	+0	No	$0	09-28 18:28
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	3	$88	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-28 18:28
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	6	$82	53	53	+0	open	—	10-04 05:19
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	7	$74	106	0	+106	Yes	-$74	10-30 15:58
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	3	$51	28	28	+0	No	+$4	09-29 16:18
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$48	34	34	+0	No	-$2	10-30 15:26
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$45	54	0	+54	No	+$9	10-30 15:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$4	09-28 10:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$42	47	47	+0	Yes	+$2	09-28 09:27
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	3	$42	87	87	+0	No	+$2	09-20 19:00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$42	54	54	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 17:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	3	$42	27	26	+0	open	—	10-01 13:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	10-30 14:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	5	$41	35	35	+0	open	—	10-01 17:27
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	2	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	10-30 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:48:48	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0x146816…
11-01 11:31:33	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x97b2c9…
10-30 15:58:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1db1d3…
10-30 15:58:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa1a7d4…
10-30 15:58:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x434554…
10-30 15:57:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4e8fd3…
10-30 15:52:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdd0730…
10-30 15:52:13	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0x547a88…
10-30 15:47:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xd77f87…
10-30 15:44:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c9a0c…
10-30 15:41:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe5fe09…
10-30 15:36:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde6c32…
10-30 15:34:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8e780f…
10-30 15:29:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1d2b77…
10-30 15:27:06	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x56fe4b…
10-30 15:26:43	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x88f755…
10-30 15:22:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x6a06f1…
10-30 15:21:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x748ac5…
10-30 15:19:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb2c2b0…
10-30 15:18:24	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xff2146…
10-30 15:15:15	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7309bd…
10-30 15:10:21	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x465319…
10-30 15:08:09	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x76b22b…
10-30 15:04:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	71¢	$57	0x719d79…
10-30 14:59:00	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0x28803a…
10-30 14:58:22	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xade121…
10-30 14:57:55	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4b45dd…
10-30 14:56:36	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x44e14f…
10-30 14:56:30	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x42d1d3…
10-30 14:55:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x93f985…
10-30 14:55:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe90513…
10-30 14:55:39	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x228490…
10-30 14:55:31	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb3d550…
10-30 14:55:24	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9cb203…
10-30 14:51:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	83¢	$22	0x02384a…
10-30 13:45:51	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	84¢	$83	0x1734de…
10-29 17:17:11	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xd4d95e…
10-11 16:50:27	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x1eb0b2…
10-11 10:39:11	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x61a80a…
10-10 11:40:48	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	104	93¢	$97	0x24e93c…
10-10 11:40:30	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x10e31c…
10-10 11:40:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2f7c69…
10-10 11:40:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x47e9cd…
10-10 11:37:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x271f1d…
10-10 11:36:09	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$52	0x4fd2af…
10-10 11:34:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x24df96…
10-10 11:33:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2aa06c…
10-09 19:22:04	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	176	11¢	$20	0xd31a2d…
10-09 18:49:05	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xd852aa…
10-09 18:47:01	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xc28b3a…
10-09 18:41:05	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2a045e…
10-09 18:38:20	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x98a25d…
10-09 18:37:23	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xf24591…
10-09 18:36:04	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x9f4d72…
10-09 18:32:38	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xa77d92…
10-09 18:27:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xae9897…
10-09 09:01:22	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x6b757e…
10-06 17:31:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	40¢	$22	0xe3ba0a…
10-04 16:53:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc00a65…
10-04 15:25:20	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfcc490…
10-04 15:24:53	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x14af9a…
10-04 13:40:04	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x696208…
10-04 12:22:47	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x760c47…
10-04 11:50:17	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3e39c8…
10-04 11:47:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x57c278…
10-04 05:19:58	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0x572f40…
10-04 04:44:43	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x2b71d4…
10-04 04:44:41	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x716334…
10-03 21:57:41	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x016ca5…
10-03 20:01:23	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xcaa5d7…
10-03 20:00:44	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xa8670f…
10-03 17:13:03	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9038fb…
10-03 17:12:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$2	0x1dafa6…
10-03 17:06:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4b83c9…
10-03 12:48:15	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x3d4244…
10-03 12:42:53	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x30dde4…
10-03 12:36:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x2bd328…
10-03 12:28:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	Yes	SELL	875	1¢	$9	0xfd555e…
10-03 12:25:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x0bb009…
10-03 12:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x914361…
10-03 12:24:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe2ac02…
10-03 12:19:32	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0ea139…
10-03 12:14:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x10b7ec…
10-02 22:23:00	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x10a18f…
10-02 13:31:26	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x4e1141…
10-02 12:21:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1dea3c…
10-01 17:27:24	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xf249b0…
10-01 15:53:20	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xff3060…
10-01 14:38:14	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x80f890…
10-01 14:38:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x138767…
10-01 13:20:17	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x4eda78…
10-01 13:00:47	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x854a87…
10-01 12:47:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x39a6e3…
10-01 12:37:23	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x3ee7fe…
10-01 12:12:53	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$201	0xab37ec…
10-01 12:12:53	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1ed5ae…
10-01 12:12:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0x738fd9…
10-01 12:11:17	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa55de7…
10-01 12:11:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xbb47f5…
10-01 11:56:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0a40b4…