Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
71
lifetime
Volume
$324
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$275
17 positions
First seen
2026-11-01
last 11-08 16:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
98% — —
Other
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +1,539 $58 4¢ $64 +$6 11-06 11:01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $31 6¢ $32 +$1 11-04 15:17
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? Yes +693 $38 4¢ $31 -$7 11-08 16:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +339 $18 8¢ $25 +$7 11-08 16:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +1,040 $34 2¢ $21 -$13 11-07 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +473 $34 4¢ $21 -$13 11-06 10:58
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $23 8¢ $19 -$4 11-05 23:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +150 $12 8¢ $11 -$1 11-02 14:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $11 11¢ $11 +$0 11-02 14:38
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +162 $10 6¢ $9 -$1 11-05 23:18
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? Yes +261 $15 3¢ $9 -$6 11-05 23:16
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? Yes +164 $10 4¢ $7 -$3 11-05 23:15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +66 $10 8¢ $6 -$4 11-03 16:45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +97 $7 5¢ $5 -$2 11-05 23:19
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +158 $7 2¢ $3 -$4 11-02 21:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +215 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 11-02 14:03
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? Yes +2 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 11-01 19:18