Realized P&L
+$288
Unrealized P&L
-$179
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
334
lifetime
Volume
$1.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$281
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-29 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
33% 100% +$288
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +840 $146 15¢ $126 $-20 06-10 23:23
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +235 $56 26¢ $61 +$5 06-23 20:10
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +173 $26 12¢ $21 $-5 05-30 09:41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $20 18¢ $15 $-4 06-04 20:23
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +165 $19 $13 $-6 06-17 22:10
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +133 $13 $12 $-1 06-14 19:06
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,910 $119 $11 $-109 06-26 20:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 $-0 06-06 15:16
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes -34 $-5 15¢ $-5 $-0 06-17 22:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -45 $-4 11¢ $-5 $-0 06-17 22:01
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 26¢ $4 $-0 06-17 22:03
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? Yes -305 $2 $-1 $-3 06-17 21:57
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +35 $49 $1 $-48 06-29 10:40
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes -387 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-04 17:55
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes -140 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-30 09:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -51 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-16 07:26