Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
-$404
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
537
lifetime
Volume
$1.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$211
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-24 22:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
63% 30% -$38
Politics
37% 22% +$97
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +2,133 $376 6¢ $129 -$246 10-22 12:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +289 $63 7¢ $20 -$42 10-22 20:22
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +462 $57 3¢ $13 -$44 10-24 22:15
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $22 11¢ $10 -$12 06-04 20:23
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +137 $14 6¢ $8 -$6 10-22 12:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +108 $18 6¢ $6 -$12 05-26 23:03
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +185 $20 3¢ $6 -$14 10-22 18:22
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +178 $16 3¢ $6 -$11 07-31 09:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -109 -$15 3¢ $-4 +$12 05-23 06:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $10 8¢ $3 -$7 06-17 22:03
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +97 $21 3¢ $3 -$18 06-17 22:05
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 Yes +30 $3 4¢ $1 -$1 08-09 23:03
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 08-06 00:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -18 $0 6¢ $-1 -$1 06-17 22:01