Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
36.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$439
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$291
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-24 08:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
98% 33% -$5
Other
2% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +3,160 $129 4¢ $131 +$2 10-24 08:28
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +764 $31 6¢ $48 +$17 10-18 15:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +371 $33 8¢ $28 -$5 10-22 17:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $30 11¢ $26 -$4 10-12 08:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +297 $19 8¢ $22 +$3 10-18 15:36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +157 $11 8¢ $13 +$2 10-17 13:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +258 $26 4¢ $12 -$14 10-17 17:16
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +154 $10 4¢ $7 -$3 10-23 17:52
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +62 $4 4¢ $3 -$1 10-17 16:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +30 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-11 10:41