Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
127
Trades
243
lifetime
Volume
$16.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$4.89K
25 positions
First seen
2026-07-24
last 10-27 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
62% 88% +$84
Politics
18% 85% -$22
Crypto
12% 76% -$100
Sports
5% 83% -$3
Tech
2% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +269 $250 98¢ $262 +$12 10-14 16:33
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +269 $250 96¢ $257 +$7 10-03 14:00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +267 $250 96¢ $257 +$7 10-03 14:00
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +264 $248 96¢ $255 +$7 10-03 14:49
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +272 $247 94¢ $254 +$7 10-03 05:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +262 $250 97¢ $253 +$3 10-11 06:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +269 $247 94¢ $253 +$6 08-21 00:00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +269 $250 94¢ $253 +$3 10-03 05:05
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +260 $247 97¢ $252 +$5 10-03 19:00
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +260 $247 97¢ $252 +$4 10-03 14:00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +263 $249 96¢ $251 +$2 10-03 14:00
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +269 $250 93¢ $251 +$1 10-03 14:00
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +259 $250 96¢ $249 $0 10-27 02:00
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +269 $250 92¢ $247 -$3 10-03 05:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +263 $247 94¢ $246 -$1 10-03 14:00
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +271 $250 91¢ $246 -$4 10-03 14:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +269 $247 90¢ $242 -$5 10-03 14:00
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +263 $250 88¢ $233 -$17 10-03 23:17
Discord IPO before 2027? No +147 $138 93¢ $137 -$1 10-06 02:32
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +64 $49 100¢ $64 +$15 10-11 19:35
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +64 $50 76¢ $49 -$1 10-16 06:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +63 $50 77¢ $48 -$1 09-02 17:05
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +55 $50 72¢ $39 -$10 10-16 08:45
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? No +53 $49 43¢ $23 -$26 10-01 16:10
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +64 $50 26¢ $16 -$34 09-01 23:47