(anonymous) 0x12b33e…a3e104 Create alert
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$493
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
383
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$9.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$420
25 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 11-06 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
82% 34% -$520
Politics
17% 74% +$15
Tech
1% 50% +$7
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +178 $25 49¢ $87 +$62 08-18 14:30
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +56 $12 83¢ $46 +$34 09-14 11:08
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +43 $12 88¢ $38 +$25 09-11 20:28
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +78 $12 44¢ $35 +$22 09-17 21:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +33 $25 92¢ $30 +$5 07-25 08:15
usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768 No +31 $25 92¢ $29 +$4 08-14 16:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$2 08-07 14:21
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +27 $24 95¢ $25 +$1 07-25 06:09
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +18 $12 98¢ $18 +$6 09-11 23:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +52 $12 32¢ $17 +$4 09-30 21:56
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +19 $12 88¢ $17 +$5 09-08 22:20
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +19 $12 84¢ $16 +$4 09-13 12:42
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 97¢ $13 +$1 09-08 16:50
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +50 $12 24¢ $12 $0 09-16 19:00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +29 -$73 14¢ $4 +$77 11-04 06:31
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +44 $12 8¢ $3 -$9 08-27 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 08-13 01:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 -$2 42¢ $1 +$2 08-13 00:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1 $2 40¢ $0 -$2 08-17 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$3 90¢ $0 +$4 09-16 05:33
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-30 13:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +0 -$2 90¢ $0 +$2 10-04 19:47
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 11-03 20:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $4 21¢ $0 -$4 10-27 18:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +0 -$8 88¢ $0 +$8 10-31 01:41