Realized P&L
+$49
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
78.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
743
lifetime
Volume
$2.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$480
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-31 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
78% 36% +$55
Other
22% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +71 $44 72¢ $51 +$7 10-29 17:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +86 $57 57¢ $50 -$8 10-31 00:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +64 $42 72¢ $46 +$4 10-31 06:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $31 76¢ $34 +$3 10-29 20:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +37 $22 76¢ $28 +$6 10-05 21:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +160 $12 12¢ $19 +$6 10-29 08:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +21 $10 84¢ $18 +$8 10-30 21:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $19 72¢ $17 -$2 10-21 05:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +24 $18 70¢ $17 -$1 09-28 21:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +23 $14 70¢ $16 +$2 10-28 13:29
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +31 $14 46¢ $14 +$1 10-27 20:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $16 45¢ $13 -$3 10-29 20:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +73 $12 18¢ $13 +$1 10-29 23:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +215 $14 6¢ $12 -$3 10-29 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +18 $10 62¢ $12 +$2 10-25 02:31
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-05 19:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +12 $8 84¢ $10 +$2 09-23 20:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +48 $7 20¢ $10 +$3 10-28 01:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +21 $10 42¢ $9 -$1 10-28 20:42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +11 $7 72¢ $8 +$1 10-13 19:37
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 81¢ $8 +$1 10-27 02:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +96 $14 8¢ $8 -$6 10-29 20:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +22 $7 36¢ $8 +$1 10-26 22:46
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +49 $9 16¢ $8 -$1 10-31 04:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20 $9 38¢ $8 -$2 10-26 20:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$1 10-31 06:06
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +123 $9 6¢ $7 -$1 10-31 00:07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 52¢ $7 +$3 10-01 19:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +30 $15 22¢ $7 -$9 10-26 14:18
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +15 $7 42¢ $6 -$1 10-29 22:46