Realized P&L
-$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.82K
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
138
Trades
1,416
lifetime
Volume
$48.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$811
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 11-08 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
76% 29% -$3,901
Other
22% 43% +$2,073
Sports
1% 50% +$243
Crypto
1% 60% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +35,455 $3,970 1¢ $514 -$3,456 05-10 07:42
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +996 $64 6¢ $63 -$2 08-28 06:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +580 $99 8¢ $44 -$55 08-12 21:24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +16,753 $53 0¢ $25 -$28 10-18 00:28
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +287 $22 8¢ $22 $0 09-21 08:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +4,547 $245 0¢ $20 -$225 11-02 09:56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $19 9¢ $18 -$1 10-28 09:46
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +342 $21 4¢ $15 -$6 08-30 07:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +9,625 $53 0¢ $14 -$39 10-27 21:02
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +111 $40 12¢ $14 -$26 09-21 09:58
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes -253 -$90 5¢ $-14 +$76 09-21 15:35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +100 $21 12¢ $12 -$9 10-01 14:20
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2,501 $15 0¢ $9 -$6 11-06 21:51
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $6 6¢ $6 $0 11-04 13:59
will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026 Yes +117 $10 3¢ $4 -$6 08-30 07:41
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,240 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 10-26 13:40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +1,809 $7 0¢ $3 -$5 11-08 22:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +1,231 $7 0¢ $2 -$5 09-08 09:16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +77 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-28 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-12 08:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +659 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 10-18 00:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $15 12¢ $1 -$14 07-14 22:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +10 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 08-12 04:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +572 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-25 02:07
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-13 07:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +12 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-27 10:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +308 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-08 09:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 07-21 18:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +144 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-28 10:55
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-07 19:26