Realized P&L
+$3.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved
256
Trades
665
lifetime
Volume
$120.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$181
Open exposure
$4.75K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-25 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
89% 90% +$3,308
Politics
9% 82% +$45
Crypto
2% 70% -$35
Sports
0% 50% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,400 $1,146 81¢ $1.1K -$12 10-25 01:59
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,042 $966 94¢ $985 +$18 08-27 09:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +838 $739 90¢ $750 +$11 09-29 18:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +675 $617 94¢ $635 +$18 08-27 10:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +616 $533 98¢ $603 +$71 10-22 23:59
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +477 $323 72¢ $346 +$23 10-16 23:59
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +307 $273 90¢ $274 +$1 10-25 01:53
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +28 $11 97¢ $27 +$16 10-15 22:17