Alienated-Remark 0x6c59da…8ce3bb Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$276
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
470
Trades
1,561
lifetime
Volume
$16.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$522
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-08 23:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Politics
40% 79% +$83
Other
39% 75% +$88
Crypto
16% 89% +$45
Tech
4% 63% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +255 $250 98¢ $251 +$1 11-06 23:47
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -103 -$103 96¢ $-99 +$4 10-04 09:45
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +56 $46 96¢ $53 +$7 07-11 09:57
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +43 $27 95¢ $41 +$14 09-10 15:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 11-07 18:28
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 $0 11-07 18:29
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-03 09:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 09-12 05:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-08 10:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-08 14:44
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +8 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 06-26 00:26