Blond-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$7.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-22 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

42% 60% +$8

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	35	$2.0K	3,873	3,873	+0	open	—	07-22 14:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	30	$915	1,784	3,591	-1,808	open	—	05-09 01:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	10	$675	442	442	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 10:23
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	6	$647	960	960	+0	open	—	06-21 02:06
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	24	$624	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	07-22 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	10	$482	1,700	2,000	-300	open	—	05-09 02:03
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	3	$307	204	104	+100	open	—	03-31 04:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	31	$305	736	272	+464	open	—	05-08 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$286	145	145	+0	open	—	04-18 08:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$265	250	250	+0	Up	$-7	05-08 09:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	22	$223	203	203	+0	Up	$-4	05-08 09:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$151	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 09:02
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	2	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	07-22 04:28
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$112	114	0	+114	open	—	02-27 03:04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	1	$101	109	0	+109	open	—	06-11 07:01
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	3	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	07-09 09:40
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	1	$45	51	0	+51	open	—	06-11 07:01
will base launch a token by december 31 2027	1	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	07-09 09:41
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-08 15:51
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-11 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 16:00:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	2,487	5¢	$124	0x9bc209…
07-22 15:56:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	1,199	6¢	$72	0x6fbe70…
07-22 15:52:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfdbac3…
07-22 14:52:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1,492	24¢	$358	0xd36412…
07-22 14:38:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1,287	6¢	$77	0xb6d318…
07-22 14:38:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1,138	24¢	$273	0x355735…
07-22 14:33:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xd99dc5…
07-22 14:33:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x6a8161…
07-22 14:21:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	419	24¢	$101	0xb4ef37…
07-22 14:18:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xc7a011…
07-22 13:13:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xb6ca0e…
07-22 13:10:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x0a704c…
07-22 12:53:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	750	9¢	$68	0xc507fa…
07-22 11:24:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xafb7d2…
07-22 11:10:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0xe78533…
07-22 10:46:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x951321…
07-22 10:08:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0xacd18c…
07-22 10:03:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x3425cf…
07-22 09:54:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	35	27¢	$9	0xf7fcdb…
07-22 09:53:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x56e610…
07-22 09:53:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xc4f094…
07-22 09:50:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	151	26¢	$39	0xad5105…
07-22 09:50:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	185	27¢	$50	0xe09aea…
07-22 09:49:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x30f291…
07-22 09:49:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x74f227…
07-22 09:48:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	444	26¢	$115	0x026891…
07-22 09:48:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe738f6…
07-22 09:48:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	177	26¢	$46	0x7b6a87…
07-22 09:48:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xd5b550…
07-22 09:48:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	198	27¢	$53	0x9a08a3…
07-22 09:48:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x296de1…
07-22 09:48:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	49	27¢	$13	0x19f1c1…
07-22 09:48:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0xfa45fa…
07-22 09:47:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	600	26¢	$157	0x57e6f3…
07-22 08:48:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x980448…
07-22 08:20:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe2e641…
07-22 08:20:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xfef4ee…
07-22 08:19:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6b1dca…
07-22 08:19:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe5257e…
07-22 08:19:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xfec94f…
07-22 08:19:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xa2a3eb…
07-22 08:19:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x85f9e8…
07-22 08:19:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x7938fa…
07-22 08:19:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x46a4b4…
07-22 07:57:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	355	10¢	$35	0xce273e…
07-22 07:42:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x9e503b…
07-22 07:42:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1,129	28¢	$316	0x5bf738…
07-22 06:52:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x213bf1…
07-22 06:45:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x6a5449…
07-22 06:45:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xa0e92c…
07-22 06:44:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x237681…
07-22 05:12:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	429	11¢	$47	0x9993a6…
07-22 05:06:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x717058…
07-22 04:55:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xad4f62…
07-22 04:46:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0x973a52…
07-22 04:28:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x0491f9…
07-22 04:28:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0xac549d…
07-22 04:28:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x09995c…
07-22 02:56:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x97860a…
07-22 02:55:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0xf76218…
07-22 02:55:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0xe50995…
07-09 09:41:38	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xb0dcff…
07-09 09:40:46	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd22e46…
06-21 02:06:56	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	601	33¢	$198	0xc96981…
06-21 00:53:26	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	360	34¢	$122	0xd06c85…
06-20 18:47:22	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xebe602…
06-20 12:17:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	66	34¢	$22	0x755c55…
06-20 03:15:26	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	93	34¢	$31	0x785f84…
06-20 01:57:35	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0xad5348…
06-11 07:01:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x6bd826…
06-11 07:01:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	93¢	$101	0x4e3aeb…
06-11 07:00:57	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb8fdd9…
06-11 06:59:45	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x83c6db…
05-29 11:06:34	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe4dc6c…
05-09 02:03:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	745	11¢	$82	0xf00337…
05-09 02:01:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	11¢	$28	0x17ba10…
05-09 01:57:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,399	17¢	$238	0xf77053…
05-09 01:06:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	998	11¢	$110	0xc5a2d5…
05-09 01:05:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	17¢	$20	0x7e61b0…
05-09 01:05:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	686	17¢	$117	0xaf6b71…
05-08 16:57:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x458534…
05-08 14:42:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcb01d1…
05-08 14:36:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x22b1d1…
05-08 14:35:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xe2092f…
05-08 14:35:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	762	15¢	$114	0x0c3cb0…
05-08 14:29:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	272	26¢	$71	0x33851e…
05-08 13:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xcd9f5c…
05-08 13:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	588	17¢	$100	0x798308…
05-08 12:40:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc9a097…
05-08 12:36:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2e726b…
05-08 12:35:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x528632…
05-08 12:21:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	193	17¢	$33	0xe1ad97…
05-08 12:14:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0xa45d7d…
05-08 12:14:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	135	32¢	$43	0x989eae…
05-08 12:12:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	32¢	$31	0xff66ec…
05-08 12:01:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	16¢	$74	0x5eb9ae…
05-08 11:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x37b2c1…
05-08 11:45:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xaf76b9…
05-08 11:45:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xd8a868…
05-08 11:45:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcf9d00…