Blond-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$193

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-11 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 60% +$8

Politics

35% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	+109	$101	92¢	$100	$-1	06-11 07:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+51	$45	88¢	$45	+$0	06-11 07:01
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$29	95¢	$29	$-0	06-11 06:59
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	No	+20	$19	95¢	$19	+$0	06-11 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	30	$915	1,784	3,591	-1,808	open	—	05-09 01:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	10	$675	442	442	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 10:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	10	$482	1,700	2,000	-300	open	—	05-09 02:03
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	3	$307	204	104	+100	open	—	03-31 04:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	31	$305	736	272	+464	open	—	05-08 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$286	145	145	+0	open	—	04-18 08:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$265	250	250	+0	Up	$-7	05-08 09:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	22	$223	203	203	+0	Up	$-4	05-08 09:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$151	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 09:02
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$112	114	0	+114	open	—	02-27 03:04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	1	$101	109	0	+109	open	—	06-11 07:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	1	$45	51	0	+51	open	—	06-11 07:01
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-08 15:51
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-11 06:59
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-11 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:01:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x6bd826…
06-11 07:01:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	93¢	$101	0x4e3aeb…
06-11 07:00:57	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb8fdd9…
06-11 06:59:45	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x83c6db…
05-29 11:06:34	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe4dc6c…
05-09 02:03:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	745	11¢	$82	0xf00337…
05-09 02:01:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	11¢	$28	0x17ba10…
05-09 01:57:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,399	17¢	$238	0xf77053…
05-09 01:06:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	998	11¢	$110	0xc5a2d5…
05-09 01:05:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	17¢	$20	0x7e61b0…
05-09 01:05:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	686	17¢	$117	0xaf6b71…
05-08 16:57:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x458534…
05-08 14:42:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcb01d1…
05-08 14:36:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x22b1d1…
05-08 14:35:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xe2092f…
05-08 14:35:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	762	15¢	$114	0x0c3cb0…
05-08 14:29:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	272	26¢	$71	0x33851e…
05-08 13:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xcd9f5c…
05-08 13:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	588	17¢	$100	0x798308…
05-08 12:40:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc9a097…
05-08 12:36:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2e726b…
05-08 12:35:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x528632…
05-08 12:21:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	193	17¢	$33	0xe1ad97…
05-08 12:14:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0xa45d7d…
05-08 12:14:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	135	32¢	$43	0x989eae…
05-08 12:12:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	32¢	$31	0xff66ec…
05-08 12:01:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	16¢	$74	0x5eb9ae…
05-08 11:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x37b2c1…
05-08 11:45:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xaf76b9…
05-08 11:45:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xd8a868…
05-08 11:45:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcf9d00…
05-08 11:44:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe2dbe3…
05-08 11:44:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0558aa…
05-08 11:43:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xbc1a80…
05-08 11:43:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	163	17¢	$28	0x336017…
05-08 11:42:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xa98ada…
05-08 11:42:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9bc2bc…
05-08 11:42:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x0d31dc…
05-08 11:34:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xab9339…
05-08 11:33:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7a663f…
05-08 11:32:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa4c674…
05-08 11:32:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa78713…
05-08 11:30:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x7e2aca…
05-08 11:30:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xdd7493…
05-08 11:30:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x2aae04…
05-08 11:29:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0xf0c192…
05-08 11:29:22	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x6ebc82…
05-08 11:29:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa73b3f…
05-08 11:28:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x35af24…
05-08 11:28:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2eff0b…
05-08 11:28:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2edf7e…
05-08 11:28:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc1f6f7…
05-08 11:28:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0x7b0071…
05-08 11:26:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	224	32¢	$72	0x5a4eb6…
05-08 10:55:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x10c08c…
05-08 10:23:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	188	78¢	$146	0x32c462…
05-08 10:09:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xf581a3…
05-08 10:02:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xaf788c…
05-08 09:55:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	652	17¢	$111	0xd4f5c7…
05-08 09:41:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x52374b…
05-08 09:33:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd2bda1…
05-08 09:30:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0xb84301…
05-08 09:17:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	276	17¢	$47	0xdd32b1…
05-08 09:09:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x1b1e1d…
05-08 09:07:29	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0xc15331…
05-08 09:03:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xaab41b…
05-08 09:03:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xf5b516…
05-08 09:03:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xdfb753…
05-08 09:02:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xe10d36…
05-08 09:02:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x584797…
05-08 09:02:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x6cb168…
05-08 09:02:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x4d91aa…
05-08 09:02:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xee7918…
05-08 09:02:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x426408…
05-08 09:02:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x67b934…
05-08 08:52:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	42	79¢	$33	0x9e15f5…
05-08 08:45:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe056dd…
05-08 08:37:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x57ecdb…
05-08 08:32:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x680b50…
05-08 08:29:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x13992c…
05-08 08:22:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x968630…
05-08 08:19:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8b381d…
05-08 08:19:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4dc805…
05-08 07:58:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xcae2f3…
05-08 07:31:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	160	73¢	$117	0xa38ee9…
05-08 07:31:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x6df8ed…
05-08 07:28:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	106	70¢	$74	0xdbb790…
05-08 07:26:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x58af6d…
05-08 07:26:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0x15bb78…
05-08 07:24:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xef87af…
05-08 06:55:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	17¢	$19	0x0261ae…
05-08 06:41:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x5f144f…
05-08 06:25:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x186ddc…
05-08 06:25:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x186ddc…
05-08 06:25:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xedd238…
05-08 06:21:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x32b4cd…
05-08 06:21:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x8bc667…
05-08 06:21:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x1d6f80…
05-08 06:21:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x71ad52…
05-08 06:21:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x337c61…