Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

23,932

lifetime

Volume

$70.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$212

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-13 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% — —

Other

20% 75% +$0

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	+181	$90	50¢	$90	+$0	07-07 20:07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	+43	$40	95¢	$40	+$0	07-07 17:19
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+32	$30	92¢	$30	$-0	06-07 15:44
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	+21	$20	99¢	$21	+$1	07-07 17:18
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-07 15:37
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-07 14:43
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	+20	$10	50¢	$10	+$0	07-13 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 1pt7 february 9 15	205	$570	292	292	+0	open	—	02-15 22:55
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	75	$434	112,353	112,353	+0	open	—	02-03 10:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	138	$409	212	211	+1	open	—	02-28 12:39
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	198	$332	187	149	+38	open	—	02-12 21:10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	57	$306	76,871	76,871	+0	open	—	02-03 10:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	100	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	02-16 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$270	200	70	+130	open	—	07-06 03:23
btc updown 15m 1771056000	131	$266	135	135	+0	open	—	02-14 08:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	32	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	02-03 04:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	13	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	07-05 11:10
btc updown 15m 1770632100	127	$183	114	71	+43	open	—	02-09 10:28
btc updown 15m 1770145200	43	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	02-03 19:12
btc updown 15m 1770377400	43	$172	173	0	+173	open	—	02-06 11:43
will solana dip to 70 february 9 15	30	$171	89	85	+4	open	—	02-16 03:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$169	87	87	+0	open	—	03-01 06:39
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	22	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	02-19 15:07
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	31	$157	100	64	+35	open	—	02-17 12:02
eth updown 5m 1774459500	2	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	03-25 17:28
highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 78 79f	8	$144	78	78	+0	open	—	03-18 23:00
btc updown 15m 1770299100	36	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	02-05 13:58
btc updown 15m 1770893100	34	$136	137	0	+137	open	—	02-12 10:55
will xrp dip to 1 february 16 22	31	$135	71	65	+6	open	—	02-22 16:10
will ethereum reach 2200 february 16 22	28	$135	83	55	+27	open	—	02-23 00:15
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	25	$135	78	60	+18	open	—	02-27 13:45
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	15	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	03-19 16:23
highest temperature in london on march 21 2026 11c	3	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	03-21 13:04
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	5	$125	67	67	+0	open	—	04-08 12:20
fact check maduro capture staged	38	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	03-14 15:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	02-27 09:30
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 16c	6	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 02:39:32	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5caf54…
07-07 20:07:16	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9bc82f…
07-07 17:19:20	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc5bfee…
07-07 17:18:46	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7bcb31…
07-07 17:18:40	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd9988a…
07-07 17:18:11	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7424d1…
07-07 17:17:26	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe03724…
07-07 17:16:53	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x33d103…
07-07 17:14:56	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x788192…
07-07 17:11:28	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcb9643…
07-07 17:10:58	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x61ebe3…
07-07 16:27:16	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5d735d…
07-07 16:16:56	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd0d45a…
07-07 15:56:41	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf87f1b…
07-07 15:29:22	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x665b78…
07-06 22:31:31	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x56a378…
07-06 05:51:25	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0f27a9…
07-06 04:24:58	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf02918…
07-06 03:55:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b0b26…
07-06 03:23:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b2e22…
07-06 03:15:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18561c…
07-06 03:04:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1af24b…
07-06 02:58:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x16d7e8…
07-05 12:34:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec210c…
07-05 12:32:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b8b01…
07-05 12:30:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba3084…
07-05 12:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7521c4…
07-05 12:13:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aa138…
07-05 12:01:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x132048…
07-05 11:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa49dce…
07-05 11:45:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06ee7c…
07-05 11:34:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7556b5…
07-05 11:28:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b6bb6…
07-05 11:10:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x09ba1f…
07-04 03:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dba46…
07-04 01:06:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52b460…
07-02 05:25:29	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7eefeb…
07-01 20:45:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa733b2…
07-01 14:12:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1d6bf…
07-01 14:12:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c0b33…
07-01 14:12:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd78901…
07-01 14:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdaea8c…
07-01 14:09:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x71a959…
07-01 14:09:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb55bf8…
07-01 14:09:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95726e…
07-01 14:08:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x959c93…
07-01 14:08:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45584c…
07-01 14:08:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9be621…
07-01 14:07:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38a738…
07-01 14:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87dd2c…
07-01 14:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3140…
07-01 14:07:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcb7098…
07-01 14:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa09a1b…
07-01 13:53:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3bfcc0…
07-01 13:53:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc15e03…
07-01 11:27:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c9233…
07-01 10:45:26	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x690ad8…
07-01 09:12:43	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d7bc…
06-17 21:43:17	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eb6b0…
06-14 17:22:12	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16a0e9…
06-14 17:22:10	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53f31f…
06-14 16:28:31	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd60d7c…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb47c7f…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x55ef8b…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e9895…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7e9c52…
06-13 11:03:28	boxing tommy fury vs eddie hall	Fury	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9f3ae0…
06-07 16:17:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ac8d7…
06-07 16:17:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea973b…
06-07 16:16:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb59103…
06-07 15:51:33	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b681f…
06-07 15:45:28	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x919223…
06-07 15:44:45	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa99e33…
06-07 15:44:40	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc523be…
06-07 15:44:40	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x503a6f…
06-07 15:39:03	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3cbd0…
06-07 15:38:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb10448…
06-07 15:38:03	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07e8a3…
06-07 15:37:52	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe68877…
06-07 15:36:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ecf85…
06-07 15:35:57	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2dda6…
06-07 15:35:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04e8e2…
06-07 15:35:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e7730…
06-07 15:33:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13b1ae…
06-07 15:31:40	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2cd2b4…
06-07 15:28:48	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x559759…
06-07 15:28:46	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d72cb…
06-07 15:28:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaac273…
06-07 15:28:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ccc0a…
06-07 14:49:10	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdeb830…
06-07 14:43:16	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x04cb80…
04-30 13:14:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb691ff…
04-30 10:35:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa892c3…
04-28 10:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0aa837…
04-28 10:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8c301e…
04-28 10:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3f542d…
04-28 10:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcccccc…
04-27 15:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3b8abb…
04-27 15:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x9f2607…
04-27 15:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x1fea06…