Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$463

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

11,070

Trades

24,180

lifetime

Volume

$73.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-28 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 97% -$7

Other

22% 79% -$90

Politics

6% 77% -$347

Sports

2% 87% -$17

Tech

0% 70% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	-25	-$24	98¢	$-24	$0	10-28 11:21
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	-11	-$11	97¢	$-11	$0	10-28 11:20
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	-4	-$4	99¢	$-4	$0	10-28 11:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-4	-$4	99¢	$-4	$0	10-28 11:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	10-28 11:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 1pt7 february 9 15	205	$570	292	292	+0	No	-$6	02-15 22:55
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	75	$434	112,353	112,353	+0	No	-$158	02-03 10:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	138	$409	212	211	+1	No	$0	02-28 12:39
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	198	$332	187	149	+38	No	+$0	02-12 21:10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	57	$306	76,871	76,871	+0	No	-$142	02-03 10:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	100	$280	146	146	+0	Yes	$0	02-16 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$270	200	70	+130	No	+$0	07-06 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	2	$266	134	134	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:00 UTC	131	$266	135	135	+0	Up	+$2	02-14 08:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	32	$248	124	124	+0	Yes	$0	02-03 04:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	13	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$2	07-05 11:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?	2	$216	109	109	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 19:06
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-07 22:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 10:15 UTC	127	$183	114	71	+43	Down	+$2	02-09 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:00 UTC	43	$172	172	0	+172	Up	+$0	02-03 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 11:30 UTC	43	$172	173	0	+173	Up	+$1	02-06 11:43
will solana dip to 70 february 9 15	30	$171	89	85	+4	No	-$1	02-16 03:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$169	87	87	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 06:39
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	22	$160	81	81	+0	No	+$0	02-19 15:07
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	31	$157	100	64	+35	Yes	+$1	02-17 12:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:25 UTC	2	$150	152	0	+152	Down	-$150	03-25 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	7	$148	80	80	+0	Yes	+$12	05-02 17:17
highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 78 79f	8	$144	78	78	+0	No	+$2	03-18 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 13:45 UTC	36	$144	144	0	+144	Up	+$0	02-05 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 10:45 UTC	34	$136	137	0	+137	Up	+$1	02-12 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?	4	$135	78	78	+0	Yes	+$19	05-02 15:28
will xrp dip to 1 february 16 22	31	$135	71	65	+6	No	-$1	02-22 16:10
will ethereum reach 2200 february 16 22	28	$135	83	55	+27	No	+$0	02-23 00:15
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	25	$135	78	60	+18	No	+$1	02-27 13:45
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	15	$130	66	66	+0	No	+$0	03-19 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:21:41	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xe1a275…
10-28 11:21:35	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x17f943…
10-28 11:21:28	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfd3328…
10-28 11:21:22	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x9eaee7…
10-28 11:21:13	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xf39c18…
10-28 11:21:07	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x3b77e0…
10-28 11:21:01	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x01bf42…
10-28 11:20:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x04c9fb…
10-28 11:20:44	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xafc133…
10-28 11:20:34	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x5a6531…
10-28 11:20:25	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x21fd33…
10-28 11:20:14	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x765387…
10-28 11:20:08	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xf49995…
10-28 11:19:55	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x8ef772…
10-28 11:19:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63a26e…
10-28 11:19:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3c5ea6…
07-21 03:23:21	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x915626…
07-21 03:23:16	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd13af…
07-21 03:15:15	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8064b0…
07-21 03:15:13	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x82ae36…
07-21 03:15:12	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4e3e93…
07-21 03:15:12	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4a5a8d…
07-21 03:14:57	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcda215…
07-21 03:14:19	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4d3461…
07-21 03:14:16	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xacc175…
07-21 02:34:28	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x568579…
07-21 01:03:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe1b305…
07-21 01:03:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1820c0…
07-21 00:47:33	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa06936…
07-21 00:18:24	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc5992c…
07-21 00:18:24	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa3da0d…
07-21 00:04:07	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5dea6f…
07-21 00:04:07	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0710bb…
07-20 23:55:25	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3be22a…
07-20 23:54:40	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd4bf02…
07-20 23:52:33	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcc9b1c…
07-20 23:52:33	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x76d5f6…
07-20 23:52:33	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4eb9c5…
07-20 23:50:03	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x391d9f…
07-20 23:46:42	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0e2158…
07-20 23:46:40	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd4aaba…
07-20 23:35:01	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x56b23c…
07-20 23:08:36	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff92d0…
07-20 23:02:25	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5908d1…
07-20 22:54:15	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x78b8f6…
07-20 22:54:15	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x019305…
07-20 22:20:07	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5ac285…
07-20 22:20:04	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd408b2…
07-20 22:20:04	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9c86c6…
07-20 22:19:45	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4608df…
07-20 22:19:43	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf8421…
07-20 22:15:09	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa585ff…
07-20 22:15:09	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6121fb…
07-20 22:13:45	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x52a977…
07-20 22:13:18	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5f3ca6…
07-20 22:13:16	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf9ebde…
07-20 22:12:19	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0f0b39…
07-20 22:11:39	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2fded1…
07-20 22:11:24	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd333da…
07-20 22:11:03	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa13bcf…
07-20 22:09:33	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3e008e…
07-20 22:09:31	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x81d9c2…
07-20 22:09:31	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0a05b5…
07-20 22:09:30	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe7e100…
07-20 22:09:30	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb10526…
07-20 22:09:30	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x174ca4…
07-20 22:08:04	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd40b76…
07-20 22:07:45	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x93f05a…
07-20 22:07:45	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4f2dde…
07-20 22:07:43	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x916380…
07-20 22:03:18	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x48bc8c…
07-20 22:03:15	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf3831…
07-20 21:54:49	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x356d2d…
07-20 21:54:12	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9dab0d…
07-20 21:54:06	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x400cdb…
07-20 21:53:48	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x73b822…
07-20 21:53:01	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf8d95…
07-20 21:50:58	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6b7ee6…
07-20 21:50:54	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5291cf…
07-20 21:45:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd7d341…
07-20 21:45:25	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1cc171…
07-20 21:44:36	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x50f0d8…
07-20 20:46:40	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xecb3bc…
07-20 00:57:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe17bc3…
07-20 00:57:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe125aa…
07-20 00:57:25	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd7b43…
07-20 00:43:01	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3250f4…
07-20 00:32:52	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ce67f…
07-20 00:32:51	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x89c93e…
07-20 00:21:42	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2d884e…
07-19 08:06:42	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x54cf17…
07-19 05:39:40	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x44ae0f…
07-19 03:44:55	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb7e91d…
07-19 01:30:58	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf73c63…
07-19 01:30:57	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcc01a3…
07-19 01:30:57	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb0a131…
07-19 01:30:57	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x79fe0f…
07-19 01:26:37	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe9c318…
07-19 00:26:19	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf8e035…
07-19 00:24:57	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf22f2…