Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed9f…13c077
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$870
Unrealized P&L
-$3.68K
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
1,362
Trades
3,990
lifetime
Volume
$170.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$9.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
45% 58% -$1,224
Sports
45% 56% +$1,525
Politics
9% 54% +$135
Pop-Culture
1% 61% +$447
Crypto
1% 37% -$32
Tech
0% 50% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +1,995 $1,603 80¢ $1.6K -$6 10-19 21:58
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +1,376 $1,107 87¢ $1.2K +$89 10-13 23:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,689 $729 56¢ $953 +$224 09-23 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,132 $855 78¢ $879 +$24 10-10 23:19
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +700 $539 76¢ $536 -$4 10-27 02:35
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +5,942 $5,134 9¢ $532 -$4,602 09-28 23:33
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +542 $430 84¢ $453 +$22 09-07 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +465 $197 84¢ $391 +$194 08-12 12:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +409 $16 90¢ $371 +$355 09-26 23:58
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +310 $288 94¢ $291 +$3 10-25 12:55
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +307 $137 85¢ $261 +$124 08-07 09:40
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +682 $266 38¢ $256 -$10 10-23 20:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +983 $243 20¢ $202 -$41 10-28 01:57
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +192 $178 94¢ $181 +$3 10-22 11:54
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +136 $117 82¢ $111 -$5 07-24 09:04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +150 $102 68¢ $103 +$1 10-27 03:05
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +114 $88 84¢ $97 +$9 10-24 15:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +151 $94 58¢ $87 -$6 10-23 18:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +201 $63 33¢ $66 +$3 06-20 23:24
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +76 $54 86¢ $66 +$12 07-25 11:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +135 $63 44¢ $59 -$4 10-21 03:52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +308 $58 18¢ $57 -$1 10-23 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $64 71¢ $56 -$8 08-15 13:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +121 $40 38¢ $45 +$5 07-31 22:38
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +698 $109 6¢ $44 -$65 05-28 01:24
Wizards vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers +61 $47 70¢ $43 -$4 10-28 22:04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +85 $43 44¢ $38 -$5 10-10 14:57
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +41 $32 88¢ $37 +$5 10-03 15:38
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 89¢ $31 +$1 08-30 19:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +42 $20 66¢ $28 +$8 05-21 23:58